WELL Welltower Inc.
Real Estate
Price
$228.16
Intrinsic value
$29.16
Buy price
$23.33
Discount
-682.4%
DCF walkthrough
Near-term growth (g1)22.68%
Terminal growth (g2)3.50%
Years of g1 growth4
Discount rate9.00%
Margin of safety20.00%
- Operating CF
- $2,952,730,000.00
- Total debt
- $19,720,804,352.00
- Cash & STI
- $1,965,164,032.00
- Shares out.
- 737,956,000
Overvalued
Intrinsic value$29.15
Buy price (with MOS)$23.32
Current price$228.16
Discount to intrinsic value-682.6%
7-step quality scorecard
ROE quality
LOW- Average ROE
- 1.8%
- Current ROE
- 2.2%
- Minimum ROE
- 0.7%
Debt quality
CONSERVATIVE- Debt / Equity
- 0.47x
Moat proxy
WEAK_PROXYCash-flow reliability
OK- Operating CF / Net income
- 1.90x
Technical chart
Confluence: WEAK (1/3)Weekly candles, ~3 years. Yellow line: 10-week EMA. Dashed lines: Fibonacci retracement of the last 52-week swing. Green arrow: an active DR1 support reclaim.
Assumptions & data quality
- Data source
- yfinance
- Growth (g1) source
- min(revenueCAGR,cfCAGR)
- Valuation model
- DCF_OCF
- Debt as % of DCF PV
- 49.5%
- Public economic interest
- 97.5%
These are model outputs built on assumptions (growth rate, discount rate, margin of safety), not facts - trust but verify, especially for LOW cash-flow-reliability or UNKNOWN-quality rows.