VLO Valero Energy Corporation
Energy
Price
$419.22
Intrinsic value
$214.43
Buy price
$171.54
Discount
-95.5%
Live signals
Daily bars as of Oct 8, 2026Nothing firing right now - no PAM pattern in the last 5 daily bars, and no DR1 support reclaim in the last 5 weekly bars. Technical confluence is NONE (0/3) - see the chart below.
DCF walkthrough
Near-term growth (g1)0.00%
Terminal growth (g2)3.50%
Years of g1 growth4
Discount rate9.00%
Margin of safety20.00%
- Operating CF
- $10,908,000,000.00
- Total debt
- $11,349,000,192.00
- Cash & STI
- $7,873,999,872.00
- Shares out.
- 294,000,000
Overvalued
Intrinsic value$214.49
Buy price (with MOS)$171.59
Current price$419.22
Discount to intrinsic value-95.4%
7-step quality scorecard
ROE quality
HIGH_VOLATILE- Average ROE
- 25.9%
- Current ROE
- 9.9%
- Minimum ROE
- 9.9%
Debt quality
CONSERVATIVE- Debt / Equity
- 0.48x
Moat proxy
WEAK_PROXYCash-flow reliability
OK- Operating CF / Net income
- 1.52x
Technical chart
Confluence: NONE (0/3)Weekly candles, ~3 years. Yellow line: 10-week EMA. Dashed lines: Fibonacci retracement of the last 52-week swing. Green arrow: an active DR1 support reclaim (see Live signals above for when it fired).
Assumptions & data quality
- Data source
- yfinance
- Growth (g1) source
- min(cfCAGR,revenueCAGR)
- Valuation model
- DCF_OCF
- Debt as % of DCF PV
- 15.3%
- Public economic interest
- 89.2%
These are model outputs built on assumptions (growth rate, discount rate, margin of safety), not facts - trust but verify, especially for LOW cash-flow-reliability or UNKNOWN-quality rows.