VICI VICI Properties Inc.
Real Estate
Price
$25.91
Intrinsic value
$5.60
Buy price
$4.48
Discount
-362.9%
DCF walkthrough
Near-term growth (g1)8.90%
Terminal growth (g2)3.50%
Years of g1 growth4
Discount rate9.00%
Margin of safety20.00%
- Operating CF
- $2,638,275,000.00
- Total debt
- $17,843,673,088.00
- Cash & STI
- $300,947,008.00
- Shares out.
- 1,090,236,611
Overvalued
Intrinsic value$5.60
Buy price (with MOS)$4.48
Current price$25.91
Discount to intrinsic value-362.9%
7-step quality scorecard
ROE quality
LOW- Average ROE
- 8.8%
- Current ROE
- 10.0%
- Minimum ROE
- 5.1%
Debt quality
MODERATE- Debt / Equity
- 0.64x
Moat proxy
MODERATE_PROXYCash-flow reliability
OK- Operating CF / Net income
- 0.95x
Technical chart
Confluence: DOWNTREND (1/3)Weekly candles, ~3 years. Yellow line: 10-week EMA. Dashed lines: Fibonacci retracement of the last 52-week swing. Green arrow: an active DR1 support reclaim.
Assumptions & data quality
- Data source
- yfinance
- Growth (g1) source
- min(cfCAGR,revenueCAGR)
- Valuation model
- DCF_OCF
- Debt as % of DCF PV
- 75.2%
- Public economic interest
- 98.5%
These are model outputs built on assumptions (growth rate, discount rate, margin of safety), not facts - trust but verify, especially for LOW cash-flow-reliability or UNKNOWN-quality rows.