UNP Union Pacific Corporation
Industrials
Price
$290.96
Intrinsic value
$68.57
Buy price
$54.85
Discount
-324.3%
DCF walkthrough
Near-term growth (g1)0.00%
Terminal growth (g2)3.50%
Years of g1 growth4
Discount rate9.00%
Margin of safety20.00%
- Operating CF
- $10,263,000,000.00
- Total debt
- $31,168,999,424.00
- Cash & STI
- $2,114,000,000.00
- Shares out.
- 594,000,000
Overvalued
Intrinsic value$68.57
Buy price (with MOS)$54.85
Current price$290.96
Discount to intrinsic value-324.3%
7-step quality scorecard
ROE quality
HIGH_CONSISTENT- Average ROE
- 44.8%
- Current ROE
- 38.7%
- Minimum ROE
- 38.7%
Debt quality
LEVERAGED- Debt / Equity
- 1.69x
Moat proxy
STRONG_PROXYCash-flow reliability
OK- Operating CF / Net income
- 1.40x
Technical chart
Confluence: WEAK (1/3)Weekly candles, ~3 years. Yellow line: 10-week EMA. Dashed lines: Fibonacci retracement of the last 52-week swing. Green arrow: an active DR1 support reclaim.
Assumptions & data quality
- Data source
- yfinance
- Growth (g1) source
- min(revenueCAGR,cfCAGR)
- Valuation model
- DCF_OCF
- Debt as % of DCF PV
- 44.7%
- Public economic interest
- 100.0%
These are model outputs built on assumptions (growth rate, discount rate, margin of safety), not facts - trust but verify, especially for LOW cash-flow-reliability or UNKNOWN-quality rows.