UAL United Airlines Holdings, Inc.

Industrials

Price

$111.87

Intrinsic value

$136.01

Buy price

$108.81

Discount

17.8%

Fair (no MOS) [LOW CF reliability]

Live signals (1)

Daily bars as of Oct 8, 2026

DCDowntrend ContinuationBearish ↓
A strong bearish bar rejecting a falling 20/50-SMA stack - the downtrend resuming after a bounce into the moving averages.
Fired Oct 6, 20262 daily bars ago32.9% win rate · 0.89x profit factor

A pattern is reported for 5 bars after it fires (the sweet-spot fill window), so an older bar count means the entry has had longer to play out - not that the signal is stronger. Win rate and profit factor are the pattern's backtested averages across the S&P 500, not a forecast for this ticker.

DCF walkthrough

Near-term growth (g1)0.43%

Terminal growth (g2)3.50%

Years of g1 growth4

Discount rate9.00%

Margin of safety20.00%

Operating CF: $8,913,000,000.00
Total debt: $33,667,999,744.00
Cash & STI: $16,636,999,680.00
Shares out.: 326,600,000

Fair (no MOS) [LOW CF reliability]

Intrinsic value$136.01

Buy price (with MOS)$108.81

Current price$111.87

Discount to intrinsic value17.8%

7-step quality scorecard

ROE quality

HIGH_CONSISTENT

Average ROE: 21.4%
Current ROE: 21.9%
Minimum ROE: 10.7%

Debt quality

LEVERAGED

Debt / Equity: 2.20x

Moat proxy

STRONG_PROXY

Cash-flow reliability

LOW

Operating CF / Net income: 2.55x

Technical chart

Confluence: DOWNTREND (1/3)

Weekly candles, ~3 years. Yellow line: 10-week EMA. Dashed lines: Fibonacci retracement of the last 52-week swing. Green arrow: an active DR1 support reclaim (see Live signals above for when it fired).

Assumptions & data quality

Data source: yfinance
Growth (g1) source: min(cfCAGR,revenueCAGR)+decel_adj
Valuation model: DCF_OCF
Debt as % of DCF PV: 54.8%
Public economic interest: 100.0%

These are model outputs built on assumptions (growth rate, discount rate, margin of safety), not facts - trust but verify, especially for LOW cash-flow-reliability or UNKNOWN-quality rows.