UAL United Airlines Holdings, Inc.
Industrials
Price
$126.21
Intrinsic value
$136.01
Buy price
$108.81
Discount
7.2%
DCF walkthrough
Near-term growth (g1)0.43%
Terminal growth (g2)3.50%
Years of g1 growth4
Discount rate9.00%
Margin of safety20.00%
- Operating CF
- $8,913,000,000.00
- Total debt
- $33,667,999,744.00
- Cash & STI
- $16,636,999,680.00
- Shares out.
- 326,600,000
Fair (no MOS) [LOW CF reliability]
Intrinsic value$136.01
Buy price (with MOS)$108.81
Current price$126.21
Discount to intrinsic value7.2%
7-step quality scorecard
ROE quality
HIGH_CONSISTENT- Average ROE
- 21.4%
- Current ROE
- 21.9%
- Minimum ROE
- 10.7%
Debt quality
LEVERAGED- Debt / Equity
- 2.20x
Moat proxy
STRONG_PROXYCash-flow reliability
LOW- Operating CF / Net income
- 2.55x
Technical chart
Confluence: NONE (0/3)Weekly candles, ~3 years. Yellow line: 10-week EMA. Dashed lines: Fibonacci retracement of the last 52-week swing. Green arrow: an active DR1 support reclaim.
Assumptions & data quality
- Data source
- yfinance
- Growth (g1) source
- min(cfCAGR,revenueCAGR)+decel_adj
- Valuation model
- DCF_OCF
- Debt as % of DCF PV
- 54.8%
- Public economic interest
- 100.0%
These are model outputs built on assumptions (growth rate, discount rate, margin of safety), not facts - trust but verify, especially for LOW cash-flow-reliability or UNKNOWN-quality rows.