TSLA Tesla, Inc.
Consumer Cyclical
Price
$333.99
Intrinsic value
$38.83
Buy price
$31.06
Discount
-760.2%
DCF walkthrough
Near-term growth (g1)0.05%
Terminal growth (g2)3.50%
Years of g1 growth4
Discount rate9.00%
Margin of safety20.00%
- Operating CF
- $18,685,000,000.00
- Total debt
- $16,080,000,000.00
- Cash & STI
- $43,524,001,792.00
- Shares out.
- 3,949,547,394
Overvalued [LOW CF reliability]
Intrinsic value$38.82
Buy price (with MOS)$31.05
Current price$333.99
Discount to intrinsic value-760.4%
7-step quality scorecard
ROE quality
HIGH_VOLATILE- Average ROE
- 16.6%
- Current ROE
- 4.6%
- Minimum ROE
- 4.6%
Debt quality
CONSERVATIVE- Debt / Equity
- 0.20x
Moat proxy
WEAK_PROXYCash-flow reliability
LOW- Operating CF / Net income
- 4.91x
Technical chart
Confluence: DOWNTREND (0/3)Weekly candles, ~3 years. Yellow line: 10-week EMA. Dashed lines: Fibonacci retracement of the last 52-week swing. Green arrow: an active DR1 support reclaim.
Assumptions & data quality
- Data source
- yfinance
- Growth (g1) source
- min(cfCAGR,revenueCAGR)
- Valuation model
- DCF_OCF
- Debt as % of DCF PV
- 12.6%
- Public economic interest
- 99.1%
These are model outputs built on assumptions (growth rate, discount rate, margin of safety), not facts - trust but verify, especially for LOW cash-flow-reliability or UNKNOWN-quality rows.