TSCO Tractor Supply Company
Consumer Cyclical
Price
$35.77
Intrinsic value
$6.32
Buy price
$5.05
Discount
-466.4%
DCF walkthrough
Near-term growth (g1)3.00%
Terminal growth (g2)3.50%
Years of g1 growth4
Discount rate9.00%
Margin of safety20.00%
- Operating CF
- $1,285,820,000.00
- Total debt
- $6,544,977,920.00
- Cash & STI
- $231,588,000.00
- Shares out.
- 524,615,000
Overvalued
Intrinsic value$6.31
Buy price (with MOS)$5.05
Current price$35.77
Discount to intrinsic value-466.6%
7-step quality scorecard
ROE quality
HIGH_CONSISTENT- Average ROE
- 48.9%
- Current ROE
- 42.5%
- Minimum ROE
- 42.5%
Debt quality
LEVERAGED- Debt / Equity
- 2.54x
Moat proxy
STRONG_PROXYCash-flow reliability
OK- Operating CF / Net income
- 1.27x
Technical chart
Confluence: DOWNTREND (0/3)Weekly candles, ~3 years. Yellow line: 10-week EMA. Dashed lines: Fibonacci retracement of the last 52-week swing. Green arrow: an active DR1 support reclaim.
Assumptions & data quality
- Data source
- yfinance
- Growth (g1) source
- min(revenueCAGR,cfCAGR)
- Valuation model
- DCF_OCF
- Debt as % of DCF PV
- 68%
- Public economic interest
- 100.0%
These are model outputs built on assumptions (growth rate, discount rate, margin of safety), not facts - trust but verify, especially for LOW cash-flow-reliability or UNKNOWN-quality rows.