TRV The Travelers Companies, Inc.

Financial Services

Price

$360.64

Intrinsic value

$242.95

Buy price

$194.36

Discount

-48.4%

Overvalued

Live signals

Daily bars as of Oct 8, 2026

Nothing firing right now - no PAM pattern in the last 5 daily bars, and no DR1 support reclaim in the last 5 weekly bars. Technical confluence is WEAK (1/3) - see the chart below.

DCF walkthrough

This ticker is valued with the excess-return model (bank/insurer/lender), not the operating-cash-flow DCF, so growth-rate and years-of-growth sliders don't apply - only the discount rate (used as cost of equity) and margin of safety do.

Discount rate9.00%

Margin of safety20.00%

Operating CF: $11,026,000,000.00
Total debt: $9,068,000,256.00
Cash & STI: $5,061,000,192.00
Shares out.: 213,600,000

Overvalued

Intrinsic value$243.49

Buy price (with MOS)$194.79

Current price$360.64

Discount to intrinsic value-48.1%

7-step quality scorecard

ROE quality

HIGH_CONSISTENT

Average ROE: 15.6%
Current ROE: 19.1%
Minimum ROE: 12.0%

Debt quality

CONSERVATIVE

Debt / Equity: 0.28x

Moat proxy

MODERATE_PROXY

Cash-flow reliability

NOT_APPLICABLE

Operating CF / Net income: 1.34x

Technical chart

Confluence: WEAK (1/3)

Weekly candles, ~3 years. Yellow line: 10-week EMA. Dashed lines: Fibonacci retracement of the last 52-week swing. Green arrow: an active DR1 support reclaim (see Live signals above for when it fired).

Assumptions & data quality

Data source: yfinance
Growth (g1) source: min(revenueCAGR,cfCAGR)
Valuation model: EXCESS_RETURN
Debt as % of DCF PV: 8.9%
Public economic interest: 100.0%

These are model outputs built on assumptions (growth rate, discount rate, margin of safety), not facts - trust but verify, especially for LOW cash-flow-reliability or UNKNOWN-quality rows.