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TRV The Travelers Companies, Inc.

Financial Services

Price
$376.03
Intrinsic value
$242.95
Buy price
$194.36
Discount
-54.8%
Overvalued

DCF walkthrough

This ticker is valued with the excess-return model (bank/insurer/lender), not the operating-cash-flow DCF, so growth-rate and years-of-growth sliders don't apply - only the discount rate (used as cost of equity) and margin of safety do.

Discount rate9.00%
Margin of safety20.00%
Operating CF
$11,026,000,000.00
Total debt
$9,068,000,256.00
Cash & STI
$5,061,000,192.00
Shares out.
213,600,000
Overvalued
Intrinsic value$243.49
Buy price (with MOS)$194.79
Current price$376.03
Discount to intrinsic value-54.4%

7-step quality scorecard

ROE quality
HIGH_CONSISTENT
Average ROE
15.6%
Current ROE
19.1%
Minimum ROE
12.0%
Debt quality
CONSERVATIVE
Debt / Equity
0.28x
Moat proxy
MODERATE_PROXY
Cash-flow reliability
NOT_APPLICABLE
Operating CF / Net income
1.34x

Technical chart

Confluence: NONE (0/3)

Weekly candles, ~3 years. Yellow line: 10-week EMA. Dashed lines: Fibonacci retracement of the last 52-week swing. Green arrow: an active DR1 support reclaim.

Assumptions & data quality

Data source
yfinance
Growth (g1) source
min(revenueCAGR,cfCAGR)
Valuation model
EXCESS_RETURN
Debt as % of DCF PV
8.9%
Public economic interest
100.0%

These are model outputs built on assumptions (growth rate, discount rate, margin of safety), not facts - trust but verify, especially for LOW cash-flow-reliability or UNKNOWN-quality rows.