TPL Texas Pacific Land Corporation
Energy
Price
$350.31
Intrinsic value
$75.54
Buy price
$60.43
Discount
-363.8%
DCF walkthrough
Near-term growth (g1)6.14%
Terminal growth (g2)3.50%
Years of g1 growth4
Discount rate9.00%
Margin of safety20.00%
- Operating CF
- $603,151,000.00
- Total debt
- $18,016,000.00
- Cash & STI
- $248,612,000.00
- Shares out.
- 69,034,580
Overvalued
Intrinsic value$75.53
Buy price (with MOS)$60.42
Current price$350.31
Discount to intrinsic value-363.8%
7-step quality scorecard
ROE quality
HIGH_CONSISTENT- Average ROE
- 42.4%
- Current ROE
- 33.0%
- Minimum ROE
- 33.0%
Debt quality
CONSERVATIVE- Debt / Equity
- 0.01x
Moat proxy
MODERATE_PROXYCash-flow reliability
OK- Operating CF / Net income
- 1.11x
Technical chart
Confluence: DOWNTREND (0/3)Weekly candles, ~3 years. Yellow line: 10-week EMA. Dashed lines: Fibonacci retracement of the last 52-week swing. Green arrow: an active DR1 support reclaim.
Assumptions & data quality
- Data source
- yfinance
- Growth (g1) source
- min(revenueCAGR,cfCAGR)
- Valuation model
- DCF_OCF
- Debt as % of DCF PV
- 0.4%
- Public economic interest
- 100.0%
These are model outputs built on assumptions (growth rate, discount rate, margin of safety), not facts - trust but verify, especially for LOW cash-flow-reliability or UNKNOWN-quality rows.