DCF ScreenerData as of Oct 10, 2026, 1:06 AM UTC
← Screener

TEL TE Connectivity plc

Technology

Price
$219.51
Intrinsic value
$92.53
Buy price
$74.03
Discount
-137.2%
Overvalued

Live signals (2)

Daily bars as of Oct 8, 2026
Conflicting signals
  • UCUptrend ContinuationBullish ↑

    A strong bullish bar closing back into a rising 20/50-SMA stack - the uptrend resuming after a pullback to the moving averages.

    Fired Oct 8, 2026on the latest daily bar35.8% win rate · 1x profit factor
  • FS-BearishFailure Swing (bearish)Bearish ↓

    Price overcut a recent swing high and closed back below it - the breakout failed and trapped the buyers who chased it.

    Fired Oct 6, 20262 daily bars ago35% win rate · 0.97x profit factor

A pattern is reported for 5 bars after it fires (the sweet-spot fill window), so an older bar count means the entry has had longer to play out - not that the signal is stronger. Win rate and profit factor are the pattern's backtested averages across the S&P 500, not a forecast for this ticker.

DCF walkthrough

Near-term growth (g1)1.97%
Terminal growth (g2)3.50%
Years of g1 growth4
Discount rate9.00%
Margin of safety20.00%
Operating CF
$4,418,000,000.00
Total debt
$5,817,999,872.00
Cash & STI
$1,239,000,064.00
Shares out.
293,000,000
Overvalued
Intrinsic value$92.57
Buy price (with MOS)$74.06
Current price$219.51
Discount to intrinsic value-137.1%

7-step quality scorecard

ROE quality
HIGH_CONSISTENT
Average ROE
19.9%
Current ROE
14.6%
Minimum ROE
14.6%
Debt quality
CONSERVATIVE
Debt / Equity
0.46x
Moat proxy
STRONG_PROXY
Cash-flow reliability
OK
Operating CF / Net income
1.46x

Technical chart

Confluence: MODERATE (2/3)

Weekly candles, ~3 years. Yellow line: 10-week EMA. Dashed lines: Fibonacci retracement of the last 52-week swing. Green arrow: an active DR1 support reclaim (see Live signals above for when it fired).

Assumptions & data quality

Data source
yfinance
Growth (g1) source
min(revenueCAGR,cfCAGR)
Valuation model
DCF_OCF
Debt as % of DCF PV
18.2%
Public economic interest
98.9%

These are model outputs built on assumptions (growth rate, discount rate, margin of safety), not facts - trust but verify, especially for LOW cash-flow-reliability or UNKNOWN-quality rows.