SW Smurfit Westrock Plc
Consumer Cyclical
Price
$42.39
Intrinsic value
$27.64
Buy price
$22.11
Discount
-53.4%
Live signals
Daily bars as of Oct 8, 2026Nothing firing right now - no PAM pattern in the last 5 daily bars, and no DR1 support reclaim in the last 5 weekly bars. Technical confluence is DOWNTREND (1/3) - see the chart below.
DCF walkthrough
Near-term growth (g1)7.00%
Terminal growth (g2)3.50%
Years of g1 growth4
Discount rate9.00%
Margin of safety20.00%
- Operating CF
- $3,297,000,000.00
- Total debt
- $14,163,999,744.00
- Cash & STI
- $677,000,000.00
- Shares out.
- 523,529,412
Overvalued [LOW CF reliability]
Intrinsic value$27.65
Buy price (with MOS)$22.12
Current price$42.39
Discount to intrinsic value-53.3%
7-step quality scorecard
ROE quality
LOW- Average ROE
- 9.6%
- Current ROE
- 3.8%
- Minimum ROE
- 1.8%
Debt quality
MODERATE- Debt / Equity
- 0.77x
Moat proxy
WEAK_PROXYCash-flow reliability
LOW- Operating CF / Net income
- 6.63x
Technical chart
Confluence: DOWNTREND (1/3)Weekly candles, ~3 years. Yellow line: 10-week EMA. Dashed lines: Fibonacci retracement of the last 52-week swing. Green arrow: an active DR1 support reclaim (see Live signals above for when it fired).
Assumptions & data quality
- Data source
- yfinance
- Growth (g1) source
- sector_default_fallback
- Valuation model
- DCF_OCF
- Debt as % of DCF PV
- 50.6%
- Public economic interest
- 99.9%
These are model outputs built on assumptions (growth rate, discount rate, margin of safety), not facts - trust but verify, especially for LOW cash-flow-reliability or UNKNOWN-quality rows.