STZ Constellation Brands, Inc.
Consumer Defensive
Price
$115.67
Intrinsic value
$44.04
Buy price
$35.23
Discount
-162.7%
Live signals
Daily bars as of Oct 8, 2026Nothing firing right now - no PAM pattern in the last 5 daily bars, and no DR1 support reclaim in the last 5 weekly bars. Technical confluence is DOWNTREND (1/3) - see the chart below.
DCF walkthrough
Near-term growth (g1)0.00%
Terminal growth (g2)3.50%
Years of g1 growth4
Discount rate9.00%
Margin of safety20.00%
- Operating CF
- $2,693,600,000.00
- Total debt
- $10,533,799,936.00
- Cash & STI
- $96,600,000.00
- Shares out.
- 172,407,000
Overvalued
Intrinsic value$44.05
Buy price (with MOS)$35.24
Current price$115.67
Discount to intrinsic value-162.6%
7-step quality scorecard
ROE quality
LOW- Average ROE
- 9.1%
- Current ROE
- 20.9%
- Minimum ROE
- -1.2%
Debt quality
LEVERAGED- Debt / Equity
- 1.30x
Moat proxy
MODERATE_PROXYCash-flow reliability
OK- Operating CF / Net income
- 1.48x
Technical chart
Confluence: DOWNTREND (1/3)Weekly candles, ~3 years. Yellow line: 10-week EMA. Dashed lines: Fibonacci retracement of the last 52-week swing. Green arrow: an active DR1 support reclaim (see Live signals above for when it fired).
Assumptions & data quality
- Data source
- yfinance
- Growth (g1) source
- min(revenueCAGR,cfCAGR)
- Valuation model
- DCF_OCF
- Debt as % of DCF PV
- 57.5%
- Public economic interest
- 96.4%
These are model outputs built on assumptions (growth rate, discount rate, margin of safety), not facts - trust but verify, especially for LOW cash-flow-reliability or UNKNOWN-quality rows.