SNDK Sandisk Corporation

Technology

Price

$1,660.46

Intrinsic value

$832.49

Buy price

$665.99

Discount

-99.5%

Overvalued

Live signals (1)

Daily bars as of Oct 8, 2026

FS-BearishFailure Swing (bearish)Bearish ↓
Price overcut a recent swing high and closed back below it - the breakout failed and trapped the buyers who chased it.
Fired Oct 2, 20264 daily bars ago35% win rate · 0.97x profit factor

A pattern is reported for 5 bars after it fires (the sweet-spot fill window), so an older bar count means the entry has had longer to play out - not that the signal is stronger. Win rate and profit factor are the pattern's backtested averages across the S&P 500, not a forecast for this ticker.

DCF walkthrough

Near-term growth (g1)15.00%

Terminal growth (g2)3.50%

Years of g1 growth4

Discount rate9.00%

Margin of safety20.00%

Operating CF: $11,671,000,000.00
Total debt: $201,000,000.00
Cash & STI: $4,761,999,872.00
Shares out.: 157,000,000

Overvalued

Intrinsic value$832.49

Buy price (with MOS)$665.99

Current price$1,660.46

Discount to intrinsic value-99.5%

7-step quality scorecard

ROE quality

HIGH_VOLATILE

Average ROE: 16.3%
Current ROE: 72.7%
Minimum ROE: -17.8%

Debt quality

CONSERVATIVE

Debt / Equity: 0.01x

Moat proxy

MODERATE_PROXY

Cash-flow reliability

Operating CF / Net income: 1.02x

Technical chart

Confluence: NONE (0/3)

Weekly candles, ~3 years. Yellow line: 10-week EMA. Dashed lines: Fibonacci retracement of the last 52-week swing. Green arrow: an active DR1 support reclaim (see Live signals above for when it fired).

Assumptions & data quality

Data source: yfinance
Growth (g1) source: sector_default_fallback
Valuation model: DCF_OCF
Debt as % of DCF PV: 0.2%
Public economic interest: 100.0%

These are model outputs built on assumptions (growth rate, discount rate, margin of safety), not facts - trust but verify, especially for LOW cash-flow-reliability or UNKNOWN-quality rows.