SJM The J. M. Smucker Company
Consumer Defensive
Live signals (1)
Daily bars as of Oct 8, 2026- IBB-DownsideInside Bar Breakout (downside)Bearish ↓
An inside bar coiling inside a strong bearish mother bar, with price holding below the 50-day SMA - a pause before the next leg down.
Fired Oct 6, 20262 daily bars ago23.8% win rate · 0.56x profit factor
A pattern is reported for 5 bars after it fires (the sweet-spot fill window), so an older bar count means the entry has had longer to play out - not that the signal is stronger. Win rate and profit factor are the pattern's backtested averages across the S&P 500, not a forecast for this ticker.
DCF walkthrough
- Operating CF
- $1,909,900,000.00
- Total debt
- $6,940,199,936.00
- Cash & STI
- $43,200,000.00
- Shares out.
- 107,100,000
7-step quality scorecard
- Average ROE
- -3.6%
- Current ROE
- -2.5%
- Minimum ROE
- -20.2%
- Debt / Equity
- 1.25x
- Operating CF / Net income
- 8.32x
Technical chart
Confluence: MODERATE (2/3)Weekly candles, ~3 years. Yellow line: 10-week EMA. Dashed lines: Fibonacci retracement of the last 52-week swing. Green arrow: an active DR1 support reclaim (see Live signals above for when it fired).
Assumptions & data quality
- Data source
- yfinance
- Growth (g1) source
- min(revenueCAGR,cfCAGR)
- Valuation model
- DCF_OCF
- Debt as % of DCF PV
- 50.1%
- Public economic interest
- 100.0%
These are model outputs built on assumptions (growth rate, discount rate, margin of safety), not facts - trust but verify, especially for LOW cash-flow-reliability or UNKNOWN-quality rows.