SJM The J. M. Smucker Company
Consumer Defensive
Price
$118.39
Intrinsic value
$33.80
Buy price
$27.04
Discount
-250.2%
DCF walkthrough
Near-term growth (g1)2.00%
Terminal growth (g2)3.50%
Years of g1 growth4
Discount rate9.00%
Margin of safety20.00%
- Operating CF
- $1,473,600,000.00
- Total debt
- $7,129,800,192.00
- Cash & STI
- $58,600,000.00
- Shares out.
- 106,900,000
Overvalued [LOW CF reliability]
Intrinsic value$33.81
Buy price (with MOS)$27.05
Current price$118.39
Discount to intrinsic value-250.2%
7-step quality scorecard
ROE quality
LOW- Average ROE
- -3.6%
- Current ROE
- -2.5%
- Minimum ROE
- -20.2%
Debt quality
LEVERAGED- Debt / Equity
- 1.29x
Moat proxy
MODERATE_PROXYCash-flow reliability
LOW- Operating CF / Net income
- —
Technical chart
Confluence: NONE (0/3)Weekly candles, ~3 years. Yellow line: 10-week EMA. Dashed lines: Fibonacci retracement of the last 52-week swing. Green arrow: an active DR1 support reclaim.
Assumptions & data quality
- Data source
- yfinance
- Growth (g1) source
- min(revenueCAGR,cfCAGR)
- Valuation model
- DCF_OCF
- Debt as % of DCF PV
- 66.7%
- Public economic interest
- 100.0%
These are model outputs built on assumptions (growth rate, discount rate, margin of safety), not facts - trust but verify, especially for LOW cash-flow-reliability or UNKNOWN-quality rows.