RCL Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd.
Consumer Cyclical
Price
$305.49
Intrinsic value
$174.28
Buy price
$139.42
Discount
-75.3%
DCF walkthrough
Near-term growth (g1)13.58%
Terminal growth (g2)3.50%
Years of g1 growth4
Discount rate9.00%
Margin of safety20.00%
- Operating CF
- $6,786,000,000.00
- Total debt
- $23,517,999,104.00
- Cash & STI
- $876,000,000.00
- Shares out.
- 268,000,000
Overvalued
Intrinsic value$174.35
Buy price (with MOS)$139.48
Current price$305.49
Discount to intrinsic value-75.2%
7-step quality scorecard
ROE quality
LOW- Average ROE
- 10.3%
- Current ROE
- 42.5%
- Minimum ROE
- -75.1%
Debt quality
LEVERAGED- Debt / Equity
- 2.34x
Moat proxy
WEAK_PROXYCash-flow reliability
OK- Operating CF / Net income
- 1.54x
Technical chart
Confluence: MODERATE (2/3)Weekly candles, ~3 years. Yellow line: 10-week EMA. Dashed lines: Fibonacci retracement of the last 52-week swing. Green arrow: an active DR1 support reclaim.
Assumptions & data quality
- Data source
- yfinance
- Growth (g1) source
- min(revenueCAGR,cfCAGR)+trough_adj
- Valuation model
- DCF_OCF
- Debt as % of DCF PV
- 33.4%
- Public economic interest
- 98.0%
These are model outputs built on assumptions (growth rate, discount rate, margin of safety), not facts - trust but verify, especially for LOW cash-flow-reliability or UNKNOWN-quality rows.