DCF ScreenerData as of Oct 10, 2026, 1:06 AM UTC
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PYPL PayPal Holdings, Inc.

Financial Services

Price
$54.61
Intrinsic value
$42.75
Buy price
$34.20
Discount
-27.7%
Overvalued

Live signals (2)

Daily bars as of Oct 8, 2026
Conflicting signals
  • FS-BullishFailure Swing (bullish)Bullish ↑

    Price undercut a recent swing low and closed back above it - the breakdown failed and trapped the sellers who chased it.

    Fired Oct 5, 20263 daily bars ago37.4% win rate · 1.07x profit factor
  • DCDowntrend ContinuationBearish ↓

    A strong bearish bar rejecting a falling 20/50-SMA stack - the downtrend resuming after a bounce into the moving averages.

    Fired Oct 2, 20264 daily bars ago32.9% win rate · 0.89x profit factor

A pattern is reported for 5 bars after it fires (the sweet-spot fill window), so an older bar count means the entry has had longer to play out - not that the signal is stronger. Win rate and profit factor are the pattern's backtested averages across the S&P 500, not a forecast for this ticker.

DCF walkthrough

This ticker is valued with the excess-return model (bank/insurer/lender), not the operating-cash-flow DCF, so growth-rate and years-of-growth sliders don't apply - only the discount rate (used as cost of equity) and margin of safety do.

Discount rate9.00%
Margin of safety20.00%
Operating CF
$7,475,000,000.00
Total debt
$14,220,999,680.00
Cash & STI
$11,256,000,512.00
Shares out.
882,000,000
Overvalued
Intrinsic value$42.83
Buy price (with MOS)$34.26
Current price$54.61
Discount to intrinsic value-27.5%

7-step quality scorecard

ROE quality
HIGH_CONSISTENT
Average ROE
19.6%
Current ROE
25.8%
Minimum ROE
11.9%
Debt quality
MODERATE
Debt / Equity
0.70x
Moat proxy
STRONG_PROXY
Cash-flow reliability
NOT_APPLICABLE
Operating CF / Net income
1.52x

Technical chart

Confluence: WEAK (1/3)

Weekly candles, ~3 years. Yellow line: 10-week EMA. Dashed lines: Fibonacci retracement of the last 52-week swing. Green arrow: an active DR1 support reclaim (see Live signals above for when it fired).

Assumptions & data quality

Data source
yfinance
Growth (g1) source
revenueCAGR
Valuation model
EXCESS_RETURN
Debt as % of DCF PV
22.8%
Public economic interest
100.0%

These are model outputs built on assumptions (growth rate, discount rate, margin of safety), not facts - trust but verify, especially for LOW cash-flow-reliability or UNKNOWN-quality rows.