PSX Phillips 66
Energy
Price
$221.30
Intrinsic value
$105.66
Buy price
$84.53
Discount
-109.4%
DCF walkthrough
Near-term growth (g1)0.00%
Terminal growth (g2)3.50%
Years of g1 growth4
Discount rate9.00%
Margin of safety20.00%
- Operating CF
- $8,925,000,000.00
- Total debt
- $20,565,000,192.00
- Cash & STI
- $4,099,000,064.00
- Shares out.
- 402,618,000
Overvalued
Intrinsic value$105.66
Buy price (with MOS)$84.53
Current price$221.30
Discount to intrinsic value-109.4%
7-step quality scorecard
ROE quality
HIGH_VOLATILE- Average ROE
- 20.8%
- Current ROE
- 15.1%
- Minimum ROE
- 7.7%
Debt quality
MODERATE- Debt / Equity
- 0.71x
Moat proxy
WEAK_PROXYCash-flow reliability
OK- Operating CF / Net income
- 1.26x
Technical chart
Confluence: NONE (0/3)Weekly candles, ~3 years. Yellow line: 10-week EMA. Dashed lines: Fibonacci retracement of the last 52-week swing. Green arrow: an active DR1 support reclaim.
Assumptions & data quality
- Data source
- yfinance
- Growth (g1) source
- min(cfCAGR,revenueCAGR)
- Valuation model
- DCF_OCF
- Debt as % of DCF PV
- 33.9%
- Public economic interest
- 96.2%
These are model outputs built on assumptions (growth rate, discount rate, margin of safety), not facts - trust but verify, especially for LOW cash-flow-reliability or UNKNOWN-quality rows.