PKG Packaging Corporation of America
Consumer Cyclical
Live signals (1)
Daily bars as of Oct 8, 2026- DCDowntrend ContinuationBearish ↓
A strong bearish bar rejecting a falling 20/50-SMA stack - the downtrend resuming after a bounce into the moving averages.
Fired Oct 2, 20264 daily bars ago32.9% win rate · 0.89x profit factor
A pattern is reported for 5 bars after it fires (the sweet-spot fill window), so an older bar count means the entry has had longer to play out - not that the signal is stronger. Win rate and profit factor are the pattern's backtested averages across the S&P 500, not a forecast for this ticker.
DCF walkthrough
- Operating CF
- $1,624,100,000.00
- Total debt
- $4,404,299,776.00
- Cash & STI
- $593,800,000.00
- Shares out.
- 89,000,000
7-step quality scorecard
- Average ROE
- 20.6%
- Current ROE
- 16.8%
- Minimum ROE
- 16.8%
- Debt / Equity
- 0.96x
- Operating CF / Net income
- 2.36x
Technical chart
Confluence: MODERATE (2/3)Weekly candles, ~3 years. Yellow line: 10-week EMA. Dashed lines: Fibonacci retracement of the last 52-week swing. Green arrow: an active DR1 support reclaim (see Live signals above for when it fired).
Assumptions & data quality
- Data source
- yfinance
- Growth (g1) source
- min(cfCAGR,revenueCAGR)
- Valuation model
- DCF_OCF
- Debt as % of DCF PV
- 38.2%
- Public economic interest
- 100.0%
These are model outputs built on assumptions (growth rate, discount rate, margin of safety), not facts - trust but verify, especially for LOW cash-flow-reliability or UNKNOWN-quality rows.