PG The Procter & Gamble Company
Consumer Defensive
Price
$144.51
Intrinsic value
$48.18
Buy price
$38.54
Discount
-200.0%
DCF walkthrough
Near-term growth (g1)2.00%
Terminal growth (g2)3.50%
Years of g1 growth4
Discount rate9.00%
Margin of safety20.00%
- Operating CF
- $19,556,000,000.00
- Total debt
- $35,024,998,400.00
- Cash & STI
- $9,941,999,616.00
- Shares out.
- 2,412,700,000
Overvalued
Intrinsic value$48.18
Buy price (with MOS)$38.55
Current price$144.51
Discount to intrinsic value-199.9%
7-step quality scorecard
ROE quality
HIGH_CONSISTENT- Average ROE
- 30.3%
- Current ROE
- 29.7%
- Minimum ROE
- 29.6%
Debt quality
MODERATE- Debt / Equity
- 0.65x
Moat proxy
STRONG_PROXYCash-flow reliability
OK- Operating CF / Net income
- 1.24x
Technical chart
Confluence: DOWNTREND (2/3)Weekly candles, ~3 years. Yellow line: 10-week EMA. Dashed lines: Fibonacci retracement of the last 52-week swing. Green arrow: an active DR1 support reclaim.
Assumptions & data quality
- Data source
- yfinance
- Growth (g1) source
- min(revenueCAGR,cfCAGR)
- Valuation model
- DCF_OCF
- Debt as % of DCF PV
- 24.7%
- Public economic interest
- 99.6%
These are model outputs built on assumptions (growth rate, discount rate, margin of safety), not facts - trust but verify, especially for LOW cash-flow-reliability or UNKNOWN-quality rows.