PG The Procter & Gamble Company

Consumer Defensive

Price

$148.41

Intrinsic value

$48.18

Buy price

$38.54

Discount

-208.1%

Overvalued

Live signals (3)

Daily bars as of Oct 8, 2026

Stacked bullish ↑

FS-BullishFailure Swing (bullish)Bullish ↑
Price undercut a recent swing low and closed back above it - the breakdown failed and trapped the sellers who chased it.
Fired Oct 5, 20263 daily bars ago37.4% win rate · 1.07x profit factor
FS-Bullish-Near_200SMAFailure Swing (bullish) at the 200-SMABullish ↑
Price undercut a recent swing low and closed back above it - the breakdown failed and trapped the sellers who chased it. Fired right at the 200-day SMA.
Fired Oct 5, 20263 daily bars ago36.7% win rate · 1.04x profit factor
UCUptrend ContinuationBullish ↑
A strong bullish bar closing back into a rising 20/50-SMA stack - the uptrend resuming after a pullback to the moving averages.
Fired Oct 5, 20263 daily bars ago35.8% win rate · 1x profit factor

A pattern is reported for 5 bars after it fires (the sweet-spot fill window), so an older bar count means the entry has had longer to play out - not that the signal is stronger. Win rate and profit factor are the pattern's backtested averages across the S&P 500, not a forecast for this ticker.

DCF walkthrough

Near-term growth (g1)2.00%

Terminal growth (g2)3.50%

Years of g1 growth4

Discount rate9.00%

Margin of safety20.00%

Operating CF: $19,556,000,000.00
Total debt: $35,024,998,400.00
Cash & STI: $9,941,999,616.00
Shares out.: 2,412,700,000

Overvalued

Intrinsic value$48.18

Buy price (with MOS)$38.55

Current price$148.41

Discount to intrinsic value-208.0%

7-step quality scorecard

ROE quality

HIGH_CONSISTENT

Average ROE: 30.3%
Current ROE: 29.7%
Minimum ROE: 29.6%

Debt quality

MODERATE

Debt / Equity: 0.65x

Moat proxy

STRONG_PROXY

Cash-flow reliability

Operating CF / Net income: 1.24x

Technical chart

Confluence: DOWNTREND (1/3)

Weekly candles, ~3 years. Yellow line: 10-week EMA. Dashed lines: Fibonacci retracement of the last 52-week swing. Green arrow: an active DR1 support reclaim (see Live signals above for when it fired).

Assumptions & data quality

Data source: yfinance
Growth (g1) source: min(revenueCAGR,cfCAGR)
Valuation model: DCF_OCF
Debt as % of DCF PV: 24.7%
Public economic interest: 99.6%

These are model outputs built on assumptions (growth rate, discount rate, margin of safety), not facts - trust but verify, especially for LOW cash-flow-reliability or UNKNOWN-quality rows.