NSC Norfolk Southern Corporation
Industrials
Price
$333.61
Intrinsic value
$41.31
Buy price
$33.05
Discount
-707.5%
DCF walkthrough
Near-term growth (g1)0.00%
Terminal growth (g2)3.50%
Years of g1 growth4
Discount rate9.00%
Margin of safety20.00%
- Operating CF
- $3,732,000,000.00
- Total debt
- $17,150,000,128.00
- Cash & STI
- $1,069,000,000.00
- Shares out.
- 225,000,000
Overvalued
Intrinsic value$41.31
Buy price (with MOS)$33.05
Current price$333.61
Discount to intrinsic value-707.5%
7-step quality scorecard
ROE quality
HIGH_CONSISTENT- Average ROE
- 19.2%
- Current ROE
- 18.5%
- Minimum ROE
- 14.3%
Debt quality
LEVERAGED- Debt / Equity
- 1.10x
Moat proxy
STRONG_PROXYCash-flow reliability
OK- Operating CF / Net income
- 1.42x
Technical chart
Confluence: WEAK (1/3)Weekly candles, ~3 years. Yellow line: 10-week EMA. Dashed lines: Fibonacci retracement of the last 52-week swing. Green arrow: an active DR1 support reclaim.
Assumptions & data quality
- Data source
- yfinance
- Growth (g1) source
- min(revenueCAGR,cfCAGR)
- Valuation model
- DCF_OCF
- Debt as % of DCF PV
- 67.6%
- Public economic interest
- 100.0%
These are model outputs built on assumptions (growth rate, discount rate, margin of safety), not facts - trust but verify, especially for LOW cash-flow-reliability or UNKNOWN-quality rows.