DCF ScreenerData as of Oct 10, 2026, 1:06 AM UTC
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NOC Northrop Grumman Corporation

Industrials

Price
$483.11
Intrinsic value
$177.70
Buy price
$142.16
Discount
-171.9%
Overvalued

Live signals (2)

Daily bars as of Oct 8, 2026
Conflicting signals
  • FS-BearishFailure Swing (bearish)Bearish ↓

    Price overcut a recent swing high and closed back below it - the breakout failed and trapped the buyers who chased it.

    Fired Oct 7, 20261 daily bar ago35% win rate · 0.97x profit factor
  • FS-BullishFailure Swing (bullish)Bullish ↑

    Price undercut a recent swing low and closed back above it - the breakdown failed and trapped the sellers who chased it.

    Fired Oct 6, 20262 daily bars ago37.4% win rate · 1.07x profit factor

A pattern is reported for 5 bars after it fires (the sweet-spot fill window), so an older bar count means the entry has had longer to play out - not that the signal is stronger. Win rate and profit factor are the pattern's backtested averages across the S&P 500, not a forecast for this ticker.

DCF walkthrough

Near-term growth (g1)4.65%
Terminal growth (g2)3.50%
Years of g1 growth4
Discount rate9.00%
Margin of safety20.00%
Operating CF
$5,078,000,000.00
Total debt
$17,052,000,256.00
Cash & STI
$2,307,000,064.00
Shares out.
142,400,000
Overvalued
Intrinsic value$177.68
Buy price (with MOS)$142.14
Current price$483.11
Discount to intrinsic value-171.9%

7-step quality scorecard

ROE quality
HIGH_CONSISTENT
Average ROE
24.6%
Current ROE
25.1%
Minimum ROE
13.9%
Debt quality
LEVERAGED
Debt / Equity
1.02x
Moat proxy
STRONG_PROXY
Cash-flow reliability
OK
Operating CF / Net income
1.13x

Technical chart

Confluence: DOWNTREND (0/3)

Weekly candles, ~3 years. Yellow line: 10-week EMA. Dashed lines: Fibonacci retracement of the last 52-week swing. Green arrow: an active DR1 support reclaim (see Live signals above for when it fired).

Assumptions & data quality

Data source
yfinance
Growth (g1) source
min(revenueCAGR,cfCAGR)
Valuation model
DCF_OCF
Debt as % of DCF PV
42.6%
Public economic interest
100.0%

These are model outputs built on assumptions (growth rate, discount rate, margin of safety), not facts - trust but verify, especially for LOW cash-flow-reliability or UNKNOWN-quality rows.