NKE NIKE, Inc.
Consumer Cyclical
Price
$41.31
Intrinsic value
$11.79
Buy price
$9.43
Discount
-250.3%
DCF walkthrough
Near-term growth (g1)0.00%
Terminal growth (g2)3.50%
Years of g1 growth4
Discount rate9.00%
Margin of safety20.00%
- Operating CF
- $2,868,000,000.00
- Total debt
- $11,043,000,320.00
- Cash & STI
- $9,027,000,320.00
- Shares out.
- 1,482,900,000
Overvalued
Intrinsic value$11.79
Buy price (with MOS)$9.43
Current price$41.31
Discount to intrinsic value-250.3%
7-step quality scorecard
ROE quality
HIGH_CONSISTENT- Average ROE
- 30.2%
- Current ROE
- 20.9%
- Minimum ROE
- 20.9%
Debt quality
MODERATE- Debt / Equity
- 0.74x
Moat proxy
MODERATE_PROXYCash-flow reliability
OK- Operating CF / Net income
- 0.92x
Technical chart
Confluence: DOWNTREND (0/3)Weekly candles, ~3 years. Yellow line: 10-week EMA. Dashed lines: Fibonacci retracement of the last 52-week swing. Green arrow: an active DR1 support reclaim.
Assumptions & data quality
- Data source
- yfinance
- Growth (g1) source
- min(cfCAGR,revenueCAGR)
- Valuation model
- DCF_OCF
- Debt as % of DCF PV
- 56.6%
- Public economic interest
- 100.0%
These are model outputs built on assumptions (growth rate, discount rate, margin of safety), not facts - trust but verify, especially for LOW cash-flow-reliability or UNKNOWN-quality rows.