NFLX Netflix, Inc.
Communication Services
Price
$75.78
Intrinsic value
$26.54
Buy price
$21.23
Discount
-185.6%
DCF walkthrough
Near-term growth (g1)12.64%
Terminal growth (g2)3.50%
Years of g1 growth4
Discount rate9.00%
Margin of safety20.00%
- Operating CF
- $11,970,833,000.00
- Total debt
- $16,654,660,608.00
- Cash & STI
- $9,127,910,400.00
- Shares out.
- 4,261,300,000
Overvalued
Intrinsic value$26.54
Buy price (with MOS)$21.23
Current price$75.78
Discount to intrinsic value-185.5%
7-step quality scorecard
ROE quality
HIGH_CONSISTENT- Average ROE
- 31.1%
- Current ROE
- 41.3%
- Minimum ROE
- 21.6%
Debt quality
MODERATE- Debt / Equity
- 0.63x
Moat proxy
STRONG_PROXYCash-flow reliability
OK- Operating CF / Net income
- 0.88x
Technical chart
Confluence: DOWNTREND (2/3)Weekly candles, ~3 years. Yellow line: 10-week EMA. Dashed lines: Fibonacci retracement of the last 52-week swing. Green arrow: an active DR1 support reclaim.
Assumptions & data quality
- Data source
- yfinance
- Growth (g1) source
- min(revenueCAGR,cfCAGR)
- Valuation model
- DCF_OCF
- Debt as % of DCF PV
- 13.8%
- Public economic interest
- 100.0%
These are model outputs built on assumptions (growth rate, discount rate, margin of safety), not facts - trust but verify, especially for LOW cash-flow-reliability or UNKNOWN-quality rows.