MSFT Microsoft Corporation
Technology
Price
$503.39
Intrinsic value
$267.55
Buy price
$214.04
Discount
-88.1%
DCF walkthrough
Near-term growth (g1)16.12%
Terminal growth (g2)3.50%
Years of g1 growth4
Discount rate9.00%
Margin of safety20.00%
- Operating CF
- $182,935,000,000.00
- Total debt
- $128,812,998,656.00
- Cash & STI
- $76,842,999,808.00
- Shares out.
- 7,443,000,000
Overvalued
Intrinsic value$267.55
Buy price (with MOS)$214.04
Current price$503.39
Discount to intrinsic value-88.1%
7-step quality scorecard
ROE quality
HIGH_CONSISTENT- Average ROE
- 31.9%
- Current ROE
- 30.2%
- Minimum ROE
- 29.6%
Debt quality
CONSERVATIVE- Debt / Equity
- 0.29x
Moat proxy
STRONG_PROXYCash-flow reliability
OK- Operating CF / Net income
- 1.37x
Technical chart
Confluence: DOWNTREND (0/3)Weekly candles, ~3 years. Yellow line: 10-week EMA. Dashed lines: Fibonacci retracement of the last 52-week swing. Green arrow: an active DR1 support reclaim.
Assumptions & data quality
- Data source
- yfinance
- Growth (g1) source
- min(revenueCAGR,cfCAGR)
- Valuation model
- DCF_OCF
- Debt as % of DCF PV
- 6.3%
- Public economic interest
- 100.0%
These are model outputs built on assumptions (growth rate, discount rate, margin of safety), not facts - trust but verify, especially for LOW cash-flow-reliability or UNKNOWN-quality rows.