MSFT Microsoft Corporation
Technology
Live signals (1)
Daily bars as of Oct 8, 2026- FS-BearishFailure Swing (bearish)Bearish ↓
Price overcut a recent swing high and closed back below it - the breakout failed and trapped the buyers who chased it.
Fired Oct 8, 2026on the latest daily bar35% win rate · 0.97x profit factor
A pattern is reported for 5 bars after it fires (the sweet-spot fill window), so an older bar count means the entry has had longer to play out - not that the signal is stronger. Win rate and profit factor are the pattern's backtested averages across the S&P 500, not a forecast for this ticker.
DCF walkthrough
- Operating CF
- $182,935,000,000.00
- Total debt
- $128,812,998,656.00
- Cash & STI
- $76,842,999,808.00
- Shares out.
- 7,443,000,000
7-step quality scorecard
- Average ROE
- 31.9%
- Current ROE
- 30.2%
- Minimum ROE
- 29.6%
- Debt / Equity
- 0.29x
- Operating CF / Net income
- 1.37x
Technical chart
Confluence: NONE (0/3)Weekly candles, ~3 years. Yellow line: 10-week EMA. Dashed lines: Fibonacci retracement of the last 52-week swing. Green arrow: an active DR1 support reclaim (see Live signals above for when it fired).
Assumptions & data quality
- Data source
- yfinance
- Growth (g1) source
- min(revenueCAGR,cfCAGR)
- Valuation model
- DCF_OCF
- Debt as % of DCF PV
- 6.3%
- Public economic interest
- 100.0%
These are model outputs built on assumptions (growth rate, discount rate, margin of safety), not facts - trust but verify, especially for LOW cash-flow-reliability or UNKNOWN-quality rows.