MPWR Monolithic Power Systems, Inc.
Technology
Price
$1,406.29
Intrinsic value
$185.80
Buy price
$148.64
Discount
-656.9%
DCF walkthrough
Near-term growth (g1)10.45%
Terminal growth (g2)3.50%
Years of g1 growth4
Discount rate9.00%
Margin of safety20.00%
- Operating CF
- $822,337,000.00
- Total debt
- $18,934,000.00
- Cash & STI
- $1,413,761,024.00
- Shares out.
- 49,260,000
Overvalued
Intrinsic value$185.78
Buy price (with MOS)$148.63
Current price$1,406.29
Discount to intrinsic value-657.0%
7-step quality scorecard
ROE quality
HIGH_CONSISTENT- Average ROE
- 29.7%
- Current ROE
- 17.6%
- Minimum ROE
- 17.6%
Debt quality
CONSERVATIVE- Debt / Equity
- 0.01x
Moat proxy
WEAK_PROXYCash-flow reliability
OK- Operating CF / Net income
- 1.03x
Technical chart
Confluence: WEAK (1/3)Weekly candles, ~3 years. Yellow line: 10-week EMA. Dashed lines: Fibonacci retracement of the last 52-week swing. Green arrow: an active DR1 support reclaim.
Assumptions & data quality
- Data source
- yfinance
- Growth (g1) source
- min(cfCAGR,revenueCAGR)+trough_adj+decel_adj
- Valuation model
- DCF_OCF
- Debt as % of DCF PV
- 0.2%
- Public economic interest
- 100.0%
These are model outputs built on assumptions (growth rate, discount rate, margin of safety), not facts - trust but verify, especially for LOW cash-flow-reliability or UNKNOWN-quality rows.