DCF ScreenerData as of Oct 10, 2026, 1:06 AM UTC
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MPC Marathon Petroleum Corporation

Energy

Price
$432.36
Intrinsic value
$222.91
Buy price
$178.33
Discount
-94.0%
Overvalued

Live signals (1)

Daily bars as of Oct 8, 2026
  • IBB-UpsideInside Bar Breakout (upside)Bullish ↑

    An inside bar coiling inside a strong bullish mother bar, with price holding above the 50-day SMA - a pause before the next push up.

    Fired Oct 6, 20262 daily bars ago29% win rate · 0.7x profit factor

A pattern is reported for 5 bars after it fires (the sweet-spot fill window), so an older bar count means the entry has had longer to play out - not that the signal is stronger. Win rate and profit factor are the pattern's backtested averages across the S&P 500, not a forecast for this ticker.

DCF walkthrough

Near-term growth (g1)0.00%
Terminal growth (g2)3.50%
Years of g1 growth4
Discount rate9.00%
Margin of safety20.00%
Operating CF
$17,126,000,000.00
Total debt
$34,292,000,768.00
Cash & STI
$7,768,000,000.00
Shares out.
290,000,000
Overvalued
Intrinsic value$222.96
Buy price (with MOS)$178.36
Current price$432.36
Discount to intrinsic value-93.9%

7-step quality scorecard

ROE quality
HIGH_CONSISTENT
Average ROE
33.7%
Current ROE
23.4%
Minimum ROE
19.4%
Debt quality
LEVERAGED
Debt / Equity
1.98x
Moat proxy
MODERATE_PROXY
Cash-flow reliability
OK
Operating CF / Net income
2.00x

Technical chart

Confluence: NONE (0/3)

Weekly candles, ~3 years. Yellow line: 10-week EMA. Dashed lines: Fibonacci retracement of the last 52-week swing. Green arrow: an active DR1 support reclaim (see Live signals above for when it fired).

Assumptions & data quality

Data source
yfinance
Growth (g1) source
min(cfCAGR,revenueCAGR)
Valuation model
DCF_OCF
Debt as % of DCF PV
29.4%
Public economic interest
71.9%

These are model outputs built on assumptions (growth rate, discount rate, margin of safety), not facts - trust but verify, especially for LOW cash-flow-reliability or UNKNOWN-quality rows.