MPC Marathon Petroleum Corporation
Energy
Price
$330.79
Intrinsic value
$222.91
Buy price
$178.33
Discount
-48.4%
DCF walkthrough
Near-term growth (g1)0.00%
Terminal growth (g2)3.50%
Years of g1 growth4
Discount rate9.00%
Margin of safety20.00%
- Operating CF
- $17,126,000,000.00
- Total debt
- $34,292,000,768.00
- Cash & STI
- $7,768,000,000.00
- Shares out.
- 290,000,000
Overvalued
Intrinsic value$222.96
Buy price (with MOS)$178.36
Current price$330.79
Discount to intrinsic value-48.4%
7-step quality scorecard
ROE quality
HIGH_CONSISTENT- Average ROE
- 33.7%
- Current ROE
- 23.4%
- Minimum ROE
- 19.4%
Debt quality
LEVERAGED- Debt / Equity
- 1.98x
Moat proxy
MODERATE_PROXYCash-flow reliability
OK- Operating CF / Net income
- 2.00x
Technical chart
Confluence: NONE (0/3)Weekly candles, ~3 years. Yellow line: 10-week EMA. Dashed lines: Fibonacci retracement of the last 52-week swing. Green arrow: an active DR1 support reclaim.
Assumptions & data quality
- Data source
- yfinance
- Growth (g1) source
- min(cfCAGR,revenueCAGR)
- Valuation model
- DCF_OCF
- Debt as % of DCF PV
- 29.4%
- Public economic interest
- 71.9%
These are model outputs built on assumptions (growth rate, discount rate, margin of safety), not facts - trust but verify, especially for LOW cash-flow-reliability or UNKNOWN-quality rows.