MCO Moody's Corporation
Financial Services
Price
$478.08
Intrinsic value
$148.35
Buy price
$118.68
Discount
-222.3%
DCF walkthrough
Near-term growth (g1)12.17%
Terminal growth (g2)3.50%
Years of g1 growth4
Discount rate9.00%
Margin of safety20.00%
- Operating CF
- $3,319,000,000.00
- Total debt
- $7,619,999,744.00
- Cash & STI
- $1,496,000,000.00
- Shares out.
- 174,500,000
Overvalued [LOW CF reliability]
Intrinsic value$148.33
Buy price (with MOS)$118.67
Current price$478.08
Discount to intrinsic value-222.3%
7-step quality scorecard
ROE quality
HIGH_DISTORTED- Average ROE
- 55.3%
- Current ROE
- 60.7%
- Minimum ROE
- 48.4%
Debt quality
LEVERAGED- Debt / Equity
- 1.88x
Moat proxy
MODERATE_PROXYCash-flow reliability
LOW- Operating CF / Net income
- 1.19x
Technical chart
Confluence: DOWNTREND (2/3)Weekly candles, ~3 years. Yellow line: 10-week EMA. Dashed lines: Fibonacci retracement of the last 52-week swing. Green arrow: an active DR1 support reclaim.
Assumptions & data quality
- Data source
- yfinance
- Growth (g1) source
- min(revenueCAGR,cfCAGR)
- Valuation model
- DCF_OCF
- Debt as % of DCF PV
- 23.1%
- Public economic interest
- 96.4%
These are model outputs built on assumptions (growth rate, discount rate, margin of safety), not facts - trust but verify, especially for LOW cash-flow-reliability or UNKNOWN-quality rows.