MAR Marriott International, Inc.
Consumer Cyclical
Price
$348.45
Intrinsic value
$57.99
Buy price
$46.40
Discount
-500.8%
DCF walkthrough
Near-term growth (g1)8.02%
Terminal growth (g2)3.50%
Years of g1 growth4
Discount rate9.00%
Margin of safety20.00%
- Operating CF
- $3,728,000,000.00
- Total debt
- $17,774,000,128.00
- Cash & STI
- $462,000,000.00
- Shares out.
- 264,500,000
Overvalued
Intrinsic value$57.98
Buy price (with MOS)$46.39
Current price$348.45
Discount to intrinsic value-500.9%
7-step quality scorecard
ROE quality
HIGH_DISTORTED- Average ROE
- 415.1%
- Current ROE
- 415.1%
- Minimum ROE
- 415.1%
Debt quality
LEVERAGED- Debt / Equity
- —
Moat proxy
MODERATE_PROXYCash-flow reliability
OK- Operating CF / Net income
- 1.44x
Technical chart
Confluence: DOWNTREND (1/3)Weekly candles, ~3 years. Yellow line: 10-week EMA. Dashed lines: Fibonacci retracement of the last 52-week swing. Green arrow: an active DR1 support reclaim.
Assumptions & data quality
- Data source
- yfinance
- Growth (g1) source
- min(revenueCAGR,cfCAGR)
- Valuation model
- DCF_OCF
- Debt as % of DCF PV
- 54.4%
- Public economic interest
- 100.0%
These are model outputs built on assumptions (growth rate, discount rate, margin of safety), not facts - trust but verify, especially for LOW cash-flow-reliability or UNKNOWN-quality rows.