LYB LyondellBasell Industries N.V.
Basic Materials
Price
$58.93
Intrinsic value
$26.10
Buy price
$20.88
Discount
-125.8%
Live signals
Daily bars as of Oct 8, 2026Nothing firing right now - no PAM pattern in the last 5 daily bars, and no DR1 support reclaim in the last 5 weekly bars. Technical confluence is DOWNTREND (2/3) - see the chart below.
DCF walkthrough
Near-term growth (g1)0.00%
Terminal growth (g2)3.50%
Years of g1 growth4
Discount rate9.00%
Margin of safety20.00%
- Operating CF
- $2,973,000,000.00
- Total debt
- $14,330,000,384.00
- Cash & STI
- $2,648,999,936.00
- Shares out.
- 323,000,000
Overvalued [LOW CF reliability]
Intrinsic value$26.11
Buy price (with MOS)$20.88
Current price$58.93
Discount to intrinsic value-125.7%
7-step quality scorecard
ROE quality
LOW- Average ROE
- 12.7%
- Current ROE
- -7.4%
- Minimum ROE
- -7.4%
Debt quality
LEVERAGED- Debt / Equity
- 1.42x
Moat proxy
WEAK_PROXYCash-flow reliability
LOW- Operating CF / Net income
- —
Technical chart
Confluence: DOWNTREND (2/3)Weekly candles, ~3 years. Yellow line: 10-week EMA. Dashed lines: Fibonacci retracement of the last 52-week swing. Green arrow: an active DR1 support reclaim (see Live signals above for when it fired).
Assumptions & data quality
- Data source
- yfinance
- Growth (g1) source
- min(cfCAGR,revenueCAGR)
- Valuation model
- DCF_OCF
- Debt as % of DCF PV
- 70.9%
- Public economic interest
- 98.8%
These are model outputs built on assumptions (growth rate, discount rate, margin of safety), not facts - trust but verify, especially for LOW cash-flow-reliability or UNKNOWN-quality rows.