LULU lululemon athletica inc.
Consumer Cyclical
Price
$125.47
Intrinsic value
$108.61
Buy price
$86.88
Discount
-15.5%
DCF walkthrough
Near-term growth (g1)0.00%
Terminal growth (g2)3.50%
Years of g1 growth4
Discount rate9.00%
Margin of safety20.00%
- Operating CF
- $1,935,871,000.00
- Total debt
- $2,136,007,936.00
- Cash & STI
- $1,514,728,960.00
- Shares out.
- 115,482,000
Overvalued
Intrinsic value$108.61
Buy price (with MOS)$86.88
Current price$125.47
Discount to intrinsic value-15.5%
7-step quality scorecard
ROE quality
HIGH_CONSISTENT- Average ROE
- 34.4%
- Current ROE
- 31.8%
- Minimum ROE
- 27.1%
Debt quality
CONSERVATIVE- Debt / Equity
- 0.43x
Moat proxy
MODERATE_PROXYCash-flow reliability
OK- Operating CF / Net income
- 1.33x
Technical chart
Confluence: DOWNTREND (1/3)Weekly candles, ~3 years. Yellow line: 10-week EMA. Dashed lines: Fibonacci retracement of the last 52-week swing. Green arrow: an active DR1 support reclaim.
Assumptions & data quality
- Data source
- yfinance
- Growth (g1) source
- min(cfCAGR,revenueCAGR)+trough_adj
- Valuation model
- DCF_OCF
- Debt as % of DCF PV
- 16.2%
- Public economic interest
- 100.0%
These are model outputs built on assumptions (growth rate, discount rate, margin of safety), not facts - trust but verify, especially for LOW cash-flow-reliability or UNKNOWN-quality rows.