LMT Lockheed Martin Corporation

Industrials

Price

$510.12

Intrinsic value

$265.82

Buy price

$212.66

Discount

-91.9%

Overvalued

Live signals (1)

Daily bars as of Oct 8, 2026

FS-BearishFailure Swing (bearish)Bearish ↓
Price overcut a recent swing high and closed back below it - the breakout failed and trapped the buyers who chased it.
Fired Oct 7, 20261 daily bar ago35% win rate · 0.97x profit factor

A pattern is reported for 5 bars after it fires (the sweet-spot fill window), so an older bar count means the entry has had longer to play out - not that the signal is stronger. Win rate and profit factor are the pattern's backtested averages across the S&P 500, not a forecast for this ticker.

DCF walkthrough

Near-term growth (g1)3.13%

Terminal growth (g2)3.50%

Years of g1 growth4

Discount rate9.00%

Margin of safety20.00%

Operating CF: $10,402,000,000.00
Total debt: $20,537,999,360.00
Cash & STI: $3,791,000,064.00
Shares out.: 231,100,000

Overvalued

Intrinsic value$265.87

Buy price (with MOS)$212.69

Current price$510.12

Discount to intrinsic value-91.9%

7-step quality scorecard

ROE quality

HIGH_DISTORTED

Average ROE: 80.5%
Current ROE: 74.6%
Minimum ROE: 61.9%

Debt quality

LEVERAGED

Debt / Equity: 3.06x

Moat proxy

WEAK_PROXY

Cash-flow reliability

Operating CF / Net income: 1.65x

Technical chart

Confluence: DOWNTREND (0/3)

Weekly candles, ~3 years. Yellow line: 10-week EMA. Dashed lines: Fibonacci retracement of the last 52-week swing. Green arrow: an active DR1 support reclaim (see Live signals above for when it fired).

Assumptions & data quality

Data source: yfinance
Growth (g1) source: min(cfCAGR,revenueCAGR)
Valuation model: DCF_OCF
Debt as % of DCF PV: 26.3%
Public economic interest: 100.0%

These are model outputs built on assumptions (growth rate, discount rate, margin of safety), not facts - trust but verify, especially for LOW cash-flow-reliability or UNKNOWN-quality rows.