LITE Lumentum Holdings Inc.

Technology

Price

$1,133.40

Intrinsic value

$95.51

Buy price

$76.41

Discount

-1086.7%

Overvalued [LOW CF reliability]

Live signals

Daily bars as of Oct 8, 2026

Nothing firing right now - no PAM pattern in the last 5 daily bars, and no DR1 support reclaim in the last 5 weekly bars. Technical confluence is NONE (0/3) - see the chart below.

DCF walkthrough

Near-term growth (g1)15.00%

Terminal growth (g2)3.50%

Years of g1 growth4

Discount rate9.00%

Margin of safety20.00%

Operating CF: $751,400,000.00
Total debt: $1,671,200,000.00
Cash & STI: $2,738,400,000.00
Shares out.: 96,200,000

Overvalued [LOW CF reliability]

Intrinsic value$95.51

Buy price (with MOS)$76.41

Current price$1,133.40

Discount to intrinsic value-1086.7%

7-step quality scorecard

ROE quality

LOW

Average ROE: -53.5%
Current ROE: -149.3%
Minimum ROE: -149.3%

Debt quality

CONSERVATIVE

Debt / Equity: 0.36x

Moat proxy

MODERATE_PROXY

Cash-flow reliability

LOW

Operating CF / Net income: —

Technical chart

Confluence: NONE (0/3)

Weekly candles, ~3 years. Yellow line: 10-week EMA. Dashed lines: Fibonacci retracement of the last 52-week swing. Green arrow: an active DR1 support reclaim (see Live signals above for when it fired).

Assumptions & data quality

Data source: yfinance
Growth (g1) source: sector_default_fallback
Valuation model: DCF_OCF
Debt as % of DCF PV: 20.6%
Public economic interest: 100.0%

These are model outputs built on assumptions (growth rate, discount rate, margin of safety), not facts - trust but verify, especially for LOW cash-flow-reliability or UNKNOWN-quality rows.