KHC The Kraft Heinz Company

Consumer Defensive

Price

$22.03

Intrinsic value

$12.69

Buy price

$10.16

Discount

-73.5%

Overvalued [LOW CF reliability]

Live signals (1)

Daily bars as of Oct 8, 2026

FS-BullishFailure Swing (bullish)Bullish ↑
Price undercut a recent swing low and closed back above it - the breakdown failed and trapped the sellers who chased it.
Fired Oct 8, 2026on the latest daily bar37.4% win rate · 1.07x profit factor

A pattern is reported for 5 bars after it fires (the sweet-spot fill window), so an older bar count means the entry has had longer to play out - not that the signal is stronger. Win rate and profit factor are the pattern's backtested averages across the S&P 500, not a forecast for this ticker.

DCF walkthrough

Near-term growth (g1)0.00%

Terminal growth (g2)3.50%

Years of g1 growth4

Discount rate9.00%

Margin of safety20.00%

Operating CF: $4,621,000,000.00
Total debt: $19,000,999,936.00
Cash & STI: $2,680,999,936.00
Shares out.: 1,186,000,000

Overvalued [LOW CF reliability]

Intrinsic value$12.69

Buy price (with MOS)$10.16

Current price$22.03

Discount to intrinsic value-73.5%

7-step quality scorecard

ROE quality

LOW

Average ROE: 0.5%
Current ROE: -14.0%
Minimum ROE: -14.0%

Debt quality

CONSERVATIVE

Debt / Equity: 0.46x

Moat proxy

MODERATE_PROXY

Cash-flow reliability

LOW

Operating CF / Net income: —

Technical chart

Confluence: DOWNTREND (0/3)

Weekly candles, ~3 years. Yellow line: 10-week EMA. Dashed lines: Fibonacci retracement of the last 52-week swing. Green arrow: an active DR1 support reclaim (see Live signals above for when it fired).

Assumptions & data quality

Data source: yfinance
Growth (g1) source: min(revenueCAGR,cfCAGR)
Valuation model: DCF_OCF
Debt as % of DCF PV: 60.5%
Public economic interest: 99.7%

These are model outputs built on assumptions (growth rate, discount rate, margin of safety), not facts - trust but verify, especially for LOW cash-flow-reliability or UNKNOWN-quality rows.