JNJ Johnson & Johnson

Healthcare

Price

$254.78

Intrinsic value

$78.60

Buy price

$62.88

Discount

-224.1%

Overvalued

Live signals (1)

Daily bars as of Oct 8, 2026

DRDown-move ReversalBullish ↑
A swing low right after a sharp down-flush, with the bar closing strong - sellers absorbed at the bottom of the flush.
Fired Oct 8, 2026on the latest daily bar41.4% win rate · 1.46x profit factor

A pattern is reported for 5 bars after it fires (the sweet-spot fill window), so an older bar count means the entry has had longer to play out - not that the signal is stronger. Win rate and profit factor are the pattern's backtested averages across the S&P 500, not a forecast for this ticker.

DCF walkthrough

Near-term growth (g1)4.99%

Terminal growth (g2)3.50%

Years of g1 growth4

Discount rate9.00%

Margin of safety20.00%

Operating CF: $27,608,000,000.00
Total debt: $49,036,001,280.00
Cash & STI: $20,757,999,616.00
Shares out.: 2,440,100,000

Overvalued

Intrinsic value$78.60

Buy price (with MOS)$62.88

Current price$254.78

Discount to intrinsic value-224.2%

7-step quality scorecard

ROE quality

HIGH_CONSISTENT

Average ROE: 31.8%
Current ROE: 32.9%
Minimum ROE: 19.7%

Debt quality

MODERATE

Debt / Equity: 0.60x

Moat proxy

STRONG_PROXY

Cash-flow reliability

Operating CF / Net income: 1.31x

Technical chart

Confluence: WEAK (1/3)

Weekly candles, ~3 years. Yellow line: 10-week EMA. Dashed lines: Fibonacci retracement of the last 52-week swing. Green arrow: an active DR1 support reclaim (see Live signals above for when it fired).

Assumptions & data quality

Data source: yfinance
Growth (g1) source: min(cfCAGR,revenueCAGR)
Valuation model: DCF_OCF
Debt as % of DCF PV: 22.3%
Public economic interest: 100.0%

These are model outputs built on assumptions (growth rate, discount rate, margin of safety), not facts - trust but verify, especially for LOW cash-flow-reliability or UNKNOWN-quality rows.