JNJ Johnson & Johnson
Healthcare
Price
$259.85
Intrinsic value
$78.60
Buy price
$62.88
Discount
-230.6%
DCF walkthrough
Near-term growth (g1)4.99%
Terminal growth (g2)3.50%
Years of g1 growth4
Discount rate9.00%
Margin of safety20.00%
- Operating CF
- $27,608,000,000.00
- Total debt
- $49,036,001,280.00
- Cash & STI
- $20,757,999,616.00
- Shares out.
- 2,440,100,000
Overvalued
Intrinsic value$78.60
Buy price (with MOS)$62.88
Current price$259.85
Discount to intrinsic value-230.6%
7-step quality scorecard
ROE quality
HIGH_CONSISTENT- Average ROE
- 31.8%
- Current ROE
- 32.9%
- Minimum ROE
- 19.7%
Debt quality
MODERATE- Debt / Equity
- 0.60x
Moat proxy
STRONG_PROXYCash-flow reliability
OK- Operating CF / Net income
- 1.31x
Technical chart
Confluence: WEAK (1/3)Weekly candles, ~3 years. Yellow line: 10-week EMA. Dashed lines: Fibonacci retracement of the last 52-week swing. Green arrow: an active DR1 support reclaim.
Assumptions & data quality
- Data source
- yfinance
- Growth (g1) source
- min(cfCAGR,revenueCAGR)
- Valuation model
- DCF_OCF
- Debt as % of DCF PV
- 22.3%
- Public economic interest
- 100.0%
These are model outputs built on assumptions (growth rate, discount rate, margin of safety), not facts - trust but verify, especially for LOW cash-flow-reliability or UNKNOWN-quality rows.