HRL Hormel Foods Corporation
Consumer Defensive
Price
$24.39
Intrinsic value
$13.00
Buy price
$10.40
Discount
-87.5%
DCF walkthrough
Near-term growth (g1)0.00%
Terminal growth (g2)3.50%
Years of g1 growth4
Discount rate9.00%
Margin of safety20.00%
- Operating CF
- $1,007,758,000.00
- Total debt
- $250,000,000.00
- Cash & STI
- $574,262,976.00
- Shares out.
- 550,915,000
Overvalued
Intrinsic value$13.00
Buy price (with MOS)$10.40
Current price$24.39
Discount to intrinsic value-87.6%
7-step quality scorecard
ROE quality
LOW- Average ROE
- 9.9%
- Current ROE
- 6.1%
- Minimum ROE
- 6.1%
Debt quality
CONSERVATIVE- Debt / Equity
- 0.03x
Moat proxy
WEAK_PROXYCash-flow reliability
OK- Operating CF / Net income
- 2.16x
Technical chart
Confluence: MODERATE (2/3)Weekly candles, ~3 years. Yellow line: 10-week EMA. Dashed lines: Fibonacci retracement of the last 52-week swing. Green arrow: an active DR1 support reclaim.
Assumptions & data quality
- Data source
- yfinance
- Growth (g1) source
- min(cfCAGR,revenueCAGR)
- Valuation model
- DCF_OCF
- Debt as % of DCF PV
- 3.6%
- Public economic interest
- 99.8%
These are model outputs built on assumptions (growth rate, discount rate, margin of safety), not facts - trust but verify, especially for LOW cash-flow-reliability or UNKNOWN-quality rows.