HLT Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc.
Consumer Cyclical
Price
$313.35
Intrinsic value
$24.25
Buy price
$19.40
Discount
-1192.0%
DCF walkthrough
Near-term growth (g1)8.19%
Terminal growth (g2)3.50%
Years of g1 growth4
Discount rate9.00%
Margin of safety20.00%
- Operating CF
- $2,109,000,000.00
- Total debt
- $14,023,000,064.00
- Cash & STI
- $1,009,000,000.00
- Shares out.
- 229,000,000
Overvalued
Intrinsic value$24.25
Buy price (with MOS)$19.40
Current price$313.35
Discount to intrinsic value-1192.3%
7-step quality scorecard
ROE quality
UNKNOWN- Average ROE
- 0.0%
- Current ROE
- 0.0%
- Minimum ROE
- 0.0%
Debt quality
LEVERAGED- Debt / Equity
- —
Moat proxy
MODERATE_PROXYCash-flow reliability
OK- Operating CF / Net income
- 1.33x
Technical chart
Confluence: DOWNTREND (1/3)Weekly candles, ~3 years. Yellow line: 10-week EMA. Dashed lines: Fibonacci retracement of the last 52-week swing. Green arrow: an active DR1 support reclaim.
Assumptions & data quality
- Data source
- yfinance
- Growth (g1) source
- min(cfCAGR,revenueCAGR)
- Valuation model
- DCF_OCF
- Debt as % of DCF PV
- 75.5%
- Public economic interest
- 100.0%
These are model outputs built on assumptions (growth rate, discount rate, margin of safety), not facts - trust but verify, especially for LOW cash-flow-reliability or UNKNOWN-quality rows.