HCA HCA Healthcare, Inc.
Healthcare
Price
$412.20
Intrinsic value
$208.86
Buy price
$167.09
Discount
-97.4%
DCF walkthrough
Near-term growth (g1)7.87%
Terminal growth (g2)3.50%
Years of g1 growth4
Discount rate9.00%
Margin of safety20.00%
- Operating CF
- $11,124,000,000.00
- Total debt
- $51,552,002,048.00
- Cash & STI
- $1,130,000,000.00
- Shares out.
- 222,828,000
Overvalued
Intrinsic value$208.90
Buy price (with MOS)$167.12
Current price$412.20
Discount to intrinsic value-97.3%
7-step quality scorecard
ROE quality
UNKNOWN- Average ROE
- 0.0%
- Current ROE
- 0.0%
- Minimum ROE
- 0.0%
Debt quality
MODERATE- Debt / Equity
- —
Moat proxy
MODERATE_PROXYCash-flow reliability
OK- Operating CF / Net income
- 1.63x
Technical chart
Confluence: DOWNTREND (1/3)Weekly candles, ~3 years. Yellow line: 10-week EMA. Dashed lines: Fibonacci retracement of the last 52-week swing. Green arrow: an active DR1 support reclaim.
Assumptions & data quality
- Data source
- yfinance
- Growth (g1) source
- min(revenueCAGR,cfCAGR)
- Valuation model
- DCF_OCF
- Debt as % of DCF PV
- 53.2%
- Public economic interest
- 100.0%
These are model outputs built on assumptions (growth rate, discount rate, margin of safety), not facts - trust but verify, especially for LOW cash-flow-reliability or UNKNOWN-quality rows.