DCF ScreenerData as of Oct 10, 2026, 1:06 AM UTC
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HCA HCA Healthcare, Inc.

Healthcare

Price
$432.20
Intrinsic value
$208.86
Buy price
$167.09
Discount
-106.9%
Overvalued

Live signals (2)

Daily bars as of Oct 8, 2026
Conflicting signals
  • FS-BearishFailure Swing (bearish)Bearish ↓

    Price overcut a recent swing high and closed back below it - the breakout failed and trapped the buyers who chased it.

    Fired Oct 6, 20262 daily bars ago35% win rate · 0.97x profit factor
  • UCUptrend ContinuationBullish ↑

    A strong bullish bar closing back into a rising 20/50-SMA stack - the uptrend resuming after a pullback to the moving averages.

    Fired Oct 5, 20263 daily bars ago35.8% win rate · 1x profit factor

A pattern is reported for 5 bars after it fires (the sweet-spot fill window), so an older bar count means the entry has had longer to play out - not that the signal is stronger. Win rate and profit factor are the pattern's backtested averages across the S&P 500, not a forecast for this ticker.

DCF walkthrough

Near-term growth (g1)7.87%
Terminal growth (g2)3.50%
Years of g1 growth4
Discount rate9.00%
Margin of safety20.00%
Operating CF
$11,124,000,000.00
Total debt
$51,552,002,048.00
Cash & STI
$1,130,000,000.00
Shares out.
222,828,000
Overvalued
Intrinsic value$208.90
Buy price (with MOS)$167.12
Current price$432.20
Discount to intrinsic value-106.9%

7-step quality scorecard

ROE quality
UNKNOWN
Average ROE
0.0%
Current ROE
0.0%
Minimum ROE
0.0%
Debt quality
MODERATE
Debt / Equity
—
Moat proxy
MODERATE_PROXY
Cash-flow reliability
OK
Operating CF / Net income
1.63x

Technical chart

Confluence: DOWNTREND (1/3)

Weekly candles, ~3 years. Yellow line: 10-week EMA. Dashed lines: Fibonacci retracement of the last 52-week swing. Green arrow: an active DR1 support reclaim (see Live signals above for when it fired).

Assumptions & data quality

Data source
yfinance
Growth (g1) source
min(revenueCAGR,cfCAGR)
Valuation model
DCF_OCF
Debt as % of DCF PV
53.2%
Public economic interest
100.0%

These are model outputs built on assumptions (growth rate, discount rate, margin of safety), not facts - trust but verify, especially for LOW cash-flow-reliability or UNKNOWN-quality rows.