HAS Hasbro, Inc.

Consumer Cyclical

Price

$91.03

Intrinsic value

$41.65

Buy price

$33.32

Discount

-118.5%

Overvalued

Live signals (3)

Daily bars as of Oct 8, 2026

Stacked bearish ↓

FS-BearishFailure Swing (bearish)Bearish ↓
Price overcut a recent swing high and closed back below it - the breakout failed and trapped the buyers who chased it.
Fired Oct 7, 20261 daily bar ago35% win rate · 0.97x profit factor
FS-Bearish-Near_200SMAFailure Swing (bearish) at the 200-SMABearish ↓
Price overcut a recent swing high and closed back below it - the breakout failed and trapped the buyers who chased it. Fired right at the 200-day SMA.
Fired Oct 7, 20261 daily bar ago34.4% win rate · 0.92x profit factor
DCDowntrend ContinuationBearish ↓
A strong bearish bar rejecting a falling 20/50-SMA stack - the downtrend resuming after a bounce into the moving averages.
Fired Oct 7, 20261 daily bar ago32.9% win rate · 0.89x profit factor

A pattern is reported for 5 bars after it fires (the sweet-spot fill window), so an older bar count means the entry has had longer to play out - not that the signal is stronger. Win rate and profit factor are the pattern's backtested averages across the S&P 500, not a forecast for this ticker.

DCF walkthrough

Near-term growth (g1)0.00%

Terminal growth (g2)3.50%

Years of g1 growth4

Discount rate9.00%

Margin of safety20.00%

Operating CF: $1,288,200,000.00
Total debt: $3,878,200,064.00
Cash & STI: $1,378,200,064.00
Shares out.: 143,100,000

Overvalued

Intrinsic value$41.64

Buy price (with MOS)$33.31

Current price$91.03

Discount to intrinsic value-118.6%

7-step quality scorecard

ROE quality

LOW

Average ROE: -39.9%
Current ROE: -59.9%
Minimum ROE: -140.2%

Debt quality

LEVERAGED

Debt / Equity: 7.20x

Moat proxy

MODERATE_PROXY

Cash-flow reliability

Operating CF / Net income: 1.62x

Technical chart

Confluence: DOWNTREND (0/3)

Weekly candles, ~3 years. Yellow line: 10-week EMA. Dashed lines: Fibonacci retracement of the last 52-week swing. Green arrow: an active DR1 support reclaim (see Live signals above for when it fired).

Assumptions & data quality

Data source: yfinance
Growth (g1) source: min(revenueCAGR,cfCAGR)
Valuation model: DCF_OCF
Debt as % of DCF PV: 44.3%
Public economic interest: 95.2%

These are model outputs built on assumptions (growth rate, discount rate, margin of safety), not facts - trust but verify, especially for LOW cash-flow-reliability or UNKNOWN-quality rows.