GRMN Garmin Ltd.

Technology

Price

$279.21

Intrinsic value

$104.74

Buy price

$83.79

Discount

-166.6%

Overvalued

Live signals (1)

Daily bars as of Oct 8, 2026

DCDowntrend ContinuationBearish ↓
A strong bearish bar rejecting a falling 20/50-SMA stack - the downtrend resuming after a bounce into the moving averages.
Fired Oct 6, 20262 daily bars ago32.9% win rate · 0.89x profit factor

A pattern is reported for 5 bars after it fires (the sweet-spot fill window), so an older bar count means the entry has had longer to play out - not that the signal is stronger. Win rate and profit factor are the pattern's backtested averages across the S&P 500, not a forecast for this ticker.

DCF walkthrough

Near-term growth (g1)8.93%

Terminal growth (g2)3.50%

Years of g1 growth4

Discount rate9.00%

Margin of safety20.00%

Operating CF: $1,978,944,000.00
Total debt: $226,856,992.00
Cash & STI: $2,666,190,080.00
Shares out.: 193,471,000

Overvalued

Intrinsic value$104.73

Buy price (with MOS)$83.78

Current price$279.21

Discount to intrinsic value-166.6%

7-step quality scorecard

ROE quality

HIGH_CONSISTENT

Average ROE: 17.7%
Current ROE: 18.5%
Minimum ROE: 15.7%

Debt quality

CONSERVATIVE

Debt / Equity: 0.03x

Moat proxy

MODERATE_PROXY

Cash-flow reliability

Operating CF / Net income: 1.05x

Technical chart

Confluence: WEAK (1/3)

Weekly candles, ~3 years. Yellow line: 10-week EMA. Dashed lines: Fibonacci retracement of the last 52-week swing. Green arrow: an active DR1 support reclaim (see Live signals above for when it fired).

Assumptions & data quality

Data source: yfinance
Growth (g1) source: min(cfCAGR,revenueCAGR)+trough_adj
Valuation model: DCF_OCF
Debt as % of DCF PV: 1.3%
Public economic interest: 100.0%

These are model outputs built on assumptions (growth rate, discount rate, margin of safety), not facts - trust but verify, especially for LOW cash-flow-reliability or UNKNOWN-quality rows.