FTNT Fortinet, Inc.

Technology

Price

$191.27

Intrinsic value

$53.46

Buy price

$42.77

Discount

-257.8%

Overvalued

Live signals (1)

Daily bars as of Oct 8, 2026

IBB-UpsideInside Bar Breakout (upside)Bullish ↑
An inside bar coiling inside a strong bullish mother bar, with price holding above the 50-day SMA - a pause before the next push up.
Fired Oct 7, 20261 daily bar ago29% win rate · 0.7x profit factor

A pattern is reported for 5 bars after it fires (the sweet-spot fill window), so an older bar count means the entry has had longer to play out - not that the signal is stronger. Win rate and profit factor are the pattern's backtested averages across the S&P 500, not a forecast for this ticker.

DCF walkthrough

Near-term growth (g1)14.39%

Terminal growth (g2)3.50%

Years of g1 growth4

Discount rate9.00%

Margin of safety20.00%

Operating CF: $3,396,100,000.00
Total debt: $561,400,000.00
Cash & STI: $4,069,600,000.00
Shares out.: 739,900,000

Overvalued

Intrinsic value$53.46

Buy price (with MOS)$42.77

Current price$191.27

Discount to intrinsic value-257.8%

7-step quality scorecard

ROE quality

HIGH_DISTORTED

Average ROE: 133.3%
Current ROE: 149.8%
Minimum ROE: 116.8%

Debt quality

CONSERVATIVE

Debt / Equity: 0.45x

Moat proxy

MODERATE_PROXY

Cash-flow reliability

Operating CF / Net income: 1.60x

Technical chart

Confluence: NONE (0/3)

Weekly candles, ~3 years. Yellow line: 10-week EMA. Dashed lines: Fibonacci retracement of the last 52-week swing. Green arrow: an active DR1 support reclaim (see Live signals above for when it fired).

Assumptions & data quality

Data source: yfinance
Growth (g1) source: min(cfCAGR,revenueCAGR)
Valuation model: DCF_OCF
Debt as % of DCF PV: 1.6%
Public economic interest: 100.0%

These are model outputs built on assumptions (growth rate, discount rate, margin of safety), not facts - trust but verify, especially for LOW cash-flow-reliability or UNKNOWN-quality rows.