FERG Ferguson Enterprises Inc.
Industrials
Price
$253.79
Intrinsic value
$54.21
Buy price
$43.37
Discount
-368.2%
DCF walkthrough
Near-term growth (g1)0.00%
Terminal growth (g2)3.50%
Years of g1 growth4
Discount rate9.00%
Margin of safety20.00%
- Operating CF
- $2,425,000,000.00
- Total debt
- $6,409,999,872.00
- Cash & STI
- $437,000,000.00
- Shares out.
- 194,000,000
Overvalued
Intrinsic value$54.21
Buy price (with MOS)$43.37
Current price$253.79
Discount to intrinsic value-368.2%
7-step quality scorecard
ROE quality
HIGH_CONSISTENT- Average ROE
- 36.4%
- Current ROE
- 31.8%
- Minimum ROE
- 30.9%
Debt quality
LEVERAGED- Debt / Equity
- 1.10x
Moat proxy
WEAK_PROXYCash-flow reliability
OK- Operating CF / Net income
- 1.22x
Technical chart
Confluence: NONE (0/3)Weekly candles, ~3 years. Yellow line: 10-week EMA. Dashed lines: Fibonacci retracement of the last 52-week swing. Green arrow: an active DR1 support reclaim.
Assumptions & data quality
- Data source
- yfinance
- Growth (g1) source
- min(cfCAGR,revenueCAGR)+trough_adj
- Valuation model
- DCF_OCF
- Debt as % of DCF PV
- 38.9%
- Public economic interest
- 100.0%
These are model outputs built on assumptions (growth rate, discount rate, margin of safety), not facts - trust but verify, especially for LOW cash-flow-reliability or UNKNOWN-quality rows.