EXR Extra Space Storage Inc.
Real Estate
Price
$146.01
Intrinsic value
$2.35
Buy price
$1.88
Discount
-6115.7%
DCF walkthrough
Near-term growth (g1)6.18%
Terminal growth (g2)3.50%
Years of g1 growth4
Discount rate9.00%
Margin of safety20.00%
- Operating CF
- $1,858,644,000.00
- Total debt
- $14,414,687,232.00
- Cash & STI
- $696,604,032.00
- Shares out.
- 661,088,865
Overvalued
Intrinsic value$2.35
Buy price (with MOS)$1.88
Current price$146.01
Discount to intrinsic value-6106.1%
7-step quality scorecard
ROE quality
LOW- Average ROE
- 11.3%
- Current ROE
- 7.3%
- Minimum ROE
- 5.6%
Debt quality
LEVERAGED- Debt / Equity
- 1.07x
Moat proxy
WEAK_PROXYCash-flow reliability
OK- Operating CF / Net income
- 1.94x
Technical chart
Confluence: MODERATE (2/3)Weekly candles, ~3 years. Yellow line: 10-week EMA. Dashed lines: Fibonacci retracement of the last 52-week swing. Green arrow: an active DR1 support reclaim.
Assumptions & data quality
- Data source
- yfinance
- Growth (g1) source
- min(cfCAGR,revenueCAGR)+decel_adj
- Valuation model
- DCF_OCF
- Debt as % of DCF PV
- 93.8%
- Public economic interest
- 93.8%
These are model outputs built on assumptions (growth rate, discount rate, margin of safety), not facts - trust but verify, especially for LOW cash-flow-reliability or UNKNOWN-quality rows.