EXPE Expedia Group, Inc.
Consumer Cyclical
Price
$324.57
Intrinsic value
$172.18
Buy price
$137.74
Discount
-88.5%
DCF walkthrough
Near-term growth (g1)4.09%
Terminal growth (g2)3.50%
Years of g1 growth4
Discount rate9.00%
Margin of safety20.00%
- Operating CF
- $5,216,000,000.00
- Total debt
- $5,689,999,872.00
- Cash & STI
- $7,127,000,064.00
- Shares out.
- 122,552,000
Overvalued [LOW CF reliability]
Intrinsic value$172.12
Buy price (with MOS)$137.70
Current price$324.57
Discount to intrinsic value-88.6%
7-step quality scorecard
ROE quality
HIGH_DISTORTED- Average ROE
- 61.9%
- Current ROE
- 100.8%
- Minimum ROE
- 15.4%
Debt quality
LEVERAGED- Debt / Equity
- 4.43x
Moat proxy
MODERATE_PROXYCash-flow reliability
LOW- Operating CF / Net income
- 2.56x
Technical chart
Confluence: NONE (0/3)Weekly candles, ~3 years. Yellow line: 10-week EMA. Dashed lines: Fibonacci retracement of the last 52-week swing. Green arrow: an active DR1 support reclaim.
Assumptions & data quality
- Data source
- yfinance
- Growth (g1) source
- min(cfCAGR,revenueCAGR)
- Valuation model
- DCF_OCF
- Debt as % of DCF PV
- 14.1%
- Public economic interest
- 50.4%
These are model outputs built on assumptions (growth rate, discount rate, margin of safety), not facts - trust but verify, especially for LOW cash-flow-reliability or UNKNOWN-quality rows.