EXPD Expeditors International of Washington, Inc.

Industrials

Price

$191.80

Intrinsic value

$53.81

Buy price

$43.05

Discount

-256.4%

Overvalued

Live signals (1)

Daily bars as of Oct 8, 2026

IBB-UpsideInside Bar Breakout (upside)Bullish ↑
An inside bar coiling inside a strong bullish mother bar, with price holding above the 50-day SMA - a pause before the next push up.
Fired Oct 6, 20262 daily bars ago29% win rate · 0.7x profit factor

A pattern is reported for 5 bars after it fires (the sweet-spot fill window), so an older bar count means the entry has had longer to play out - not that the signal is stronger. Win rate and profit factor are the pattern's backtested averages across the S&P 500, not a forecast for this ticker.

DCF walkthrough

Near-term growth (g1)0.00%

Terminal growth (g2)3.50%

Years of g1 growth4

Discount rate9.00%

Margin of safety20.00%

Operating CF: $972,541,000.00
Total debt: $567,284,992.00
Cash & STI: $1,031,448,000.00
Shares out.: 131,372,000

Overvalued

Intrinsic value$53.82

Buy price (with MOS)$43.05

Current price$191.80

Discount to intrinsic value-256.4%

7-step quality scorecard

ROE quality

HIGH_CONSISTENT

Average ROE: 36.5%
Current ROE: 34.4%
Minimum ROE: 31.5%

Debt quality

CONSERVATIVE

Debt / Equity: 0.24x

Moat proxy

MODERATE_PROXY

Cash-flow reliability

Operating CF / Net income: 1.06x

Technical chart

Confluence: NONE (0/3)

Weekly candles, ~3 years. Yellow line: 10-week EMA. Dashed lines: Fibonacci retracement of the last 52-week swing. Green arrow: an active DR1 support reclaim (see Live signals above for when it fired).

Assumptions & data quality

Data source: yfinance
Growth (g1) source: min(cfCAGR,revenueCAGR)
Valuation model: DCF_OCF
Debt as % of DCF PV: 8.6%
Public economic interest: 99.9%

These are model outputs built on assumptions (growth rate, discount rate, margin of safety), not facts - trust but verify, especially for LOW cash-flow-reliability or UNKNOWN-quality rows.