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EXPD Expeditors International of Washington, Inc.

Industrials

Price
$177.49
Intrinsic value
$53.81
Buy price
$43.05
Discount
-229.8%
Overvalued

DCF walkthrough

Near-term growth (g1)0.00%
Terminal growth (g2)3.50%
Years of g1 growth4
Discount rate9.00%
Margin of safety20.00%
Operating CF
$972,541,000.00
Total debt
$567,284,992.00
Cash & STI
$1,031,448,000.00
Shares out.
131,372,000
Overvalued
Intrinsic value$53.82
Buy price (with MOS)$43.05
Current price$177.49
Discount to intrinsic value-229.8%

7-step quality scorecard

ROE quality
HIGH_CONSISTENT
Average ROE
36.5%
Current ROE
34.4%
Minimum ROE
31.5%
Debt quality
CONSERVATIVE
Debt / Equity
0.24x
Moat proxy
MODERATE_PROXY
Cash-flow reliability
OK
Operating CF / Net income
1.06x

Technical chart

Confluence: NONE (0/3)

Weekly candles, ~3 years. Yellow line: 10-week EMA. Dashed lines: Fibonacci retracement of the last 52-week swing. Green arrow: an active DR1 support reclaim.

Assumptions & data quality

Data source
yfinance
Growth (g1) source
min(cfCAGR,revenueCAGR)
Valuation model
DCF_OCF
Debt as % of DCF PV
8.6%
Public economic interest
99.9%

These are model outputs built on assumptions (growth rate, discount rate, margin of safety), not facts - trust but verify, especially for LOW cash-flow-reliability or UNKNOWN-quality rows.