EXC Exelon Corporation
Utilities
Price
$44.57
Intrinsic value
$12.56
Buy price
$10.05
Discount
-254.8%
DCF walkthrough
Near-term growth (g1)8.33%
Terminal growth (g2)3.50%
Years of g1 growth4
Discount rate9.00%
Margin of safety20.00%
- Operating CF
- $7,212,000,000.00
- Total debt
- $52,672,999,424.00
- Cash & STI
- $1,812,999,936.00
- Shares out.
- 1,028,000,000
Overvalued [LOW CF reliability]
Intrinsic value$12.55
Buy price (with MOS)$10.04
Current price$44.57
Discount to intrinsic value-255.0%
7-step quality scorecard
ROE quality
LOW- Average ROE
- 9.1%
- Current ROE
- 9.6%
- Minimum ROE
- 8.8%
Debt quality
LEVERAGED- Debt / Equity
- 1.83x
Moat proxy
MODERATE_PROXYCash-flow reliability
LOW- Operating CF / Net income
- 2.59x
Technical chart
Confluence: DOWNTREND (1/3)Weekly candles, ~3 years. Yellow line: 10-week EMA. Dashed lines: Fibonacci retracement of the last 52-week swing. Green arrow: an active DR1 support reclaim.
Assumptions & data quality
- Data source
- yfinance
- Growth (g1) source
- min(revenueCAGR,cfCAGR)
- Valuation model
- DCF_OCF
- Debt as % of DCF PV
- 82.6%
- Public economic interest
- 100.0%
These are model outputs built on assumptions (growth rate, discount rate, margin of safety), not facts - trust but verify, especially for LOW cash-flow-reliability or UNKNOWN-quality rows.