ESS Essex Property Trust, Inc.
Real Estate
Price
$282.24
Intrinsic value
$26.44
Buy price
$21.15
Discount
-967.5%
DCF walkthrough
Near-term growth (g1)3.27%
Terminal growth (g2)3.50%
Years of g1 growth4
Discount rate9.00%
Margin of safety20.00%
- Operating CF
- $1,118,023,000.00
- Total debt
- $6,748,253,184.00
- Cash & STI
- $67,527,000.00
- Shares out.
- 64,279,012
Overvalued [LOW CF reliability]
Intrinsic value$26.46
Buy price (with MOS)$21.17
Current price$282.24
Discount to intrinsic value-966.8%
7-step quality scorecard
ROE quality
LOW- Average ROE
- 10.0%
- Current ROE
- 12.1%
- Minimum ROE
- 7.1%
Debt quality
LEVERAGED- Debt / Equity
- 1.22x
Moat proxy
MODERATE_PROXYCash-flow reliability
LOW- Operating CF / Net income
- 2.70x
Technical chart
Confluence: WEAK (1/3)Weekly candles, ~3 years. Yellow line: 10-week EMA. Dashed lines: Fibonacci retracement of the last 52-week swing. Green arrow: an active DR1 support reclaim.
Assumptions & data quality
- Data source
- yfinance
- Growth (g1) source
- min(cfCAGR,revenueCAGR)
- Valuation model
- DCF_OCF
- Debt as % of DCF PV
- 80%
- Public economic interest
- 96.6%
These are model outputs built on assumptions (growth rate, discount rate, margin of safety), not facts - trust but verify, especially for LOW cash-flow-reliability or UNKNOWN-quality rows.