EOG EOG Resources, Inc.

Energy

Price

$144.28

Intrinsic value

$131.49

Buy price

$105.19

Discount

-9.7%

Overvalued

Live signals (2)

Daily bars as of Oct 8, 2026

Stacked bearish ↓

FS-BearishFailure Swing (bearish)Bearish ↓
Price overcut a recent swing high and closed back below it - the breakout failed and trapped the buyers who chased it.
Fired Oct 7, 20261 daily bar ago35% win rate · 0.97x profit factor
DCDowntrend ContinuationBearish ↓
A strong bearish bar rejecting a falling 20/50-SMA stack - the downtrend resuming after a bounce into the moving averages.
Fired Oct 7, 20261 daily bar ago32.9% win rate · 0.89x profit factor

A pattern is reported for 5 bars after it fires (the sweet-spot fill window), so an older bar count means the entry has had longer to play out - not that the signal is stronger. Win rate and profit factor are the pattern's backtested averages across the S&P 500, not a forecast for this ticker.

DCF walkthrough

Near-term growth (g1)0.00%

Terminal growth (g2)3.50%

Years of g1 growth4

Discount rate9.00%

Margin of safety20.00%

Operating CF: $10,721,000,000.00
Total debt: $8,249,999,872.00
Cash & STI: $4,906,999,808.00
Shares out.: 529,000,000

Overvalued

Intrinsic value$131.49

Buy price (with MOS)$105.19

Current price$144.28

Discount to intrinsic value-9.7%

7-step quality scorecard

ROE quality

HIGH_CONSISTENT

Average ROE: 24.2%
Current ROE: 16.7%
Minimum ROE: 16.7%

Debt quality

CONSERVATIVE

Debt / Equity: 0.28x

Moat proxy

MODERATE_PROXY

Cash-flow reliability

Operating CF / Net income: 1.56x

Technical chart

Confluence: NONE (0/3)

Weekly candles, ~3 years. Yellow line: 10-week EMA. Dashed lines: Fibonacci retracement of the last 52-week swing. Green arrow: an active DR1 support reclaim (see Live signals above for when it fired).

Assumptions & data quality

Data source: yfinance
Growth (g1) source: min(revenueCAGR,cfCAGR)
Valuation model: DCF_OCF
Debt as % of DCF PV: 11.3%
Public economic interest: 100.0%

These are model outputs built on assumptions (growth rate, discount rate, margin of safety), not facts - trust but verify, especially for LOW cash-flow-reliability or UNKNOWN-quality rows.