EL The Estée Lauder Companies Inc.
Consumer Defensive
Price
$88.01
Intrinsic value
$16.56
Buy price
$13.25
Discount
-431.4%
DCF walkthrough
Near-term growth (g1)0.00%
Terminal growth (g2)3.50%
Years of g1 growth4
Discount rate9.00%
Margin of safety20.00%
- Operating CF
- $1,798,000,000.00
- Total debt
- $9,299,999,744.00
- Cash & STI
- $3,126,000,128.00
- Shares out.
- 365,400,000
Overvalued [LOW CF reliability]
Intrinsic value$16.56
Buy price (with MOS)$13.25
Current price$88.01
Discount to intrinsic value-431.4%
7-step quality scorecard
ROE quality
LOW- Average ROE
- 9.7%
- Current ROE
- -29.3%
- Minimum ROE
- -29.3%
Debt quality
LEVERAGED- Debt / Equity
- 2.41x
Moat proxy
WEAK_PROXYCash-flow reliability
LOW- Operating CF / Net income
- —
Technical chart
Confluence: DOWNTREND (1/3)Weekly candles, ~3 years. Yellow line: 10-week EMA. Dashed lines: Fibonacci retracement of the last 52-week swing. Green arrow: an active DR1 support reclaim.
Assumptions & data quality
- Data source
- yfinance
- Growth (g1) source
- min(cfCAGR,revenueCAGR)
- Valuation model
- DCF_OCF
- Debt as % of DCF PV
- 76.1%
- Public economic interest
- 100.0%
These are model outputs built on assumptions (growth rate, discount rate, margin of safety), not facts - trust but verify, especially for LOW cash-flow-reliability or UNKNOWN-quality rows.