DOW Dow Inc.
Basic Materials
Price
$31.20
Intrinsic value
$13.97
Buy price
$11.18
Discount
-123.3%
DCF walkthrough
Near-term growth (g1)0.00%
Terminal growth (g2)3.50%
Years of g1 growth4
Discount rate9.00%
Margin of safety20.00%
- Operating CF
- $3,866,000,000.00
- Total debt
- $19,435,999,232.00
- Cash & STI
- $4,236,000,000.00
- Shares out.
- 725,100,000
Overvalued [LOW CF reliability]
Intrinsic value$13.98
Buy price (with MOS)$11.18
Current price$31.20
Discount to intrinsic value-123.2%
7-step quality scorecard
ROE quality
LOW- Average ROE
- 3.8%
- Current ROE
- -16.4%
- Minimum ROE
- -16.4%
Debt quality
LEVERAGED- Debt / Equity
- 1.21x
Moat proxy
WEAK_PROXYCash-flow reliability
LOW- Operating CF / Net income
- —
Technical chart
Confluence: DOWNTREND (2/3)Weekly candles, ~3 years. Yellow line: 10-week EMA. Dashed lines: Fibonacci retracement of the last 52-week swing. Green arrow: an active DR1 support reclaim.
Assumptions & data quality
- Data source
- yfinance
- Growth (g1) source
- min(cfCAGR,revenueCAGR)
- Valuation model
- DCF_OCF
- Debt as % of DCF PV
- 73.9%
- Public economic interest
- 91.4%
These are model outputs built on assumptions (growth rate, discount rate, margin of safety), not facts - trust but verify, especially for LOW cash-flow-reliability or UNKNOWN-quality rows.