DOV Dover Corporation

Industrials

Price

$191.88

Intrinsic value

$61.04

Buy price

$48.83

Discount

-214.4%

Overvalued

Live signals (1)

Daily bars as of Oct 8, 2026

DCDowntrend ContinuationBearish ↓
A strong bearish bar rejecting a falling 20/50-SMA stack - the downtrend resuming after a bounce into the moving averages.
Fired Oct 7, 20261 daily bar ago32.9% win rate · 0.89x profit factor

A pattern is reported for 5 bars after it fires (the sweet-spot fill window), so an older bar count means the entry has had longer to play out - not that the signal is stronger. Win rate and profit factor are the pattern's backtested averages across the S&P 500, not a forecast for this ticker.

DCF walkthrough

Near-term growth (g1)1.04%

Terminal growth (g2)3.50%

Years of g1 growth4

Discount rate9.00%

Margin of safety20.00%

Operating CF: $1,390,406,000.00
Total debt: $3,259,987,968.00
Cash & STI: $1,755,970,944.00
Shares out.: 135,553,000

Overvalued

Intrinsic value$61.03

Buy price (with MOS)$48.82

Current price$191.88

Discount to intrinsic value-214.4%

7-step quality scorecard

ROE quality

HIGH_CONSISTENT

Average ROE: 24.8%
Current ROE: 14.8%
Minimum ROE: 14.8%

Debt quality

CONSERVATIVE

Debt / Equity: 0.44x

Moat proxy

STRONG_PROXY

Cash-flow reliability

Operating CF / Net income: 1.23x

Technical chart

Confluence: DOWNTREND (1/3)

Weekly candles, ~3 years. Yellow line: 10-week EMA. Dashed lines: Fibonacci retracement of the last 52-week swing. Green arrow: an active DR1 support reclaim (see Live signals above for when it fired).

Assumptions & data quality

Data source: yfinance
Growth (g1) source: revenueCAGR
Valuation model: DCF_OCF
Debt as % of DCF PV: 33.3%
Public economic interest: 100.0%

These are model outputs built on assumptions (growth rate, discount rate, margin of safety), not facts - trust but verify, especially for LOW cash-flow-reliability or UNKNOWN-quality rows.